La escuela de los momios

Landskrona BoIS v Falkenbergs FF

Inicio: 2026-04-12 13:00 UTC

Final: Landskrona BoIS 1–2 Falkenbergs FF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Landskrona BoIS (Local)

Predicción 39.30%2.54momio equitativo
EV -4.49%
Ventaja -1.85%
Kelly -3.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.78%39.53%39.24%42.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.122.282.302.4347.17%43.83%43.48%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Falkenbergs FF (Visitante)

Predicción 33.77%2.96momio equitativo
EV +3.00%
Ventaja +0.983%
Kelly +1.46%
Crecimiento +0.044%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.57%33.46%33.97%35.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.802.753.0540.00%35.73%36.36%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.93%3.71momio equitativo
EV -3.06%
Ventaja -0.851%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.85%27.01%26.79%28.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.403.413.6033.33%29.38%29.33%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.22%EV -11.17%E -4.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV +3.00%E +0.983%K +1.46%G +0.044%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.06%E -0.851%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -13.53%E -6.15%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV +3.00%E +0.983%K +1.46%G +0.044%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 10:20
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -13.53%E -6.15%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV +3.00%E +0.983%K +1.46%G +0.044%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 10:15
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -13.53%E -6.15%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV +3.00%E +0.983%K +1.46%G +0.044%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 10:20
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -13.53%E -6.15%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV +3.00%E +0.983%K +1.46%G +0.044%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 10:15
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -14.32%E -6.57%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV +3.00%E +0.983%K +1.46%G +0.044%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 10:14
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -14.32%E -6.57%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV +3.00%E +0.983%K +1.46%G +0.044%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 10:14
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -15.10%E -6.99%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +1.31%E +0.436%K +0.654%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:20
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -15.10%E -6.99%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +1.31%E +0.436%K +0.654%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:15
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -15.10%E -6.99%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +1.31%E +0.436%K +0.654%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:15
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -15.10%E -6.99%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +1.31%E +0.436%K +0.654%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:15
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -15.10%E -6.99%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +1.31%E +0.436%K +0.654%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:15
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -15.10%E -6.99%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +1.31%E +0.436%K +0.654%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:15
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -15.89%E -7.43%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV +1.31%E +0.436%K +0.654%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 10:15
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%EV -16.68%E -7.87%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -0.380%E -0.129%K -0.195%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 10:15
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 39.30%EV -4.49%E -1.85%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.70%EV -1.39%E -0.477%K -0.726%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.00%EV -8.18%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 03:05
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.67%E -2.36%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -3.76%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -11.68%E -3.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 10:19
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -6.46%E -2.71%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.77%EV -4.43%E -1.57%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.27%EV -11.68%E -3.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 10:20
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 39.05%EV -8.03%E -3.43%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.40%EV -4.77%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -13.83%E -4.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 04:20
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 39.05%EV -8.03%E -3.43%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.40%EV -4.77%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -13.83%E -4.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 04:25
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -5.67%E -2.36%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -5.45%E -1.94%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 04:05
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.60%E -4.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -5.45%E -1.94%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 08:35
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -7.64%E -3.25%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.06%E -0.851%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 13:09
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.46%E -2.71%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 11:59
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -6.46%E -2.71%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 04:20
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -7.64%E -3.25%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -13.83%E -4.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 11:50
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -5.67%E -2.36%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.36%EV -8.15%E -3.00%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 17:35
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -5.67%E -2.36%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.36%EV -8.15%E -3.00%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 17:35
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.67%E -2.36%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 13:05
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -7.64%E -3.25%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 09:18
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -7.64%E -3.25%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 08:04
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -7.64%E -3.25%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 08:04
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.60%E -4.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-08 17:24
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.60%E -4.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-08 17:24
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.60%E -4.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-08 17:25
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.60%E -4.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-08 17:25
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.64%E -3.25%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -10.51%E -3.97%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 01:49
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.60%E -4.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -10.51%E -3.97%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-09 13:05
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.60%E -4.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -11.52%E -4.40%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 17:30
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.60%E -4.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.60%E -4.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-09 13:00
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.60%E -4.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-09 13:01
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.57%E -5.14%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-09 13:05
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -5.67%E -2.36%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -13.89%E -5.45%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -8.45%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 09:30
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -13.53%E -6.15%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -15.58%E -6.23%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -11.14%E -3.38%K -4.84%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-12 10:05
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.11%EV -13.53%E -6.15%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.42%EV -15.58%E -6.23%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.47%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-07 00:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.27%EV -13.53%E -6.15%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.67%EV -15.58%E -6.23%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -19.22%E -6.41%K -9.61%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-11 13:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.41%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%1.5%2026-04-12 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.60%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66%1.8%2026-04-12 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.60%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66%1.8%2026-04-12 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.60%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66%1.8%2026-04-12 11:50