The School of Odds

IK Oddevold v Varbergs BoIS

2026-07-18 11:00 — Superettan - Sweden

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: IK Oddevold (Local)

2.2045.45%Min
2.3642.38%Mean
2.4041.67%Median
2.4540.82%Max
37.17%2.690Min
39.84%2.510Max
38.53%2.596Mean
38.45%2.601Median
38.63%2.589IQM
38.68%2.585Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.45 under the IQM model: 38.63%

EV -5.36%Edge -2.19%Kelly -3.69%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Varbergs BoIS (Visit)

2.5040.00%Min
2.6437.87%Mean
2.6338.10%Median
2.7536.36%Max
33.98%2.943Min
34.72%2.880Max
34.40%2.907Mean
34.45%2.903Median
34.45%2.902IQM
34.45%2.903Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.75 under the IQM model: 34.45%

EV -5.25%Edge -1.91%Kelly -3.00%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.1032.26%Min
3.3429.91%Mean
3.4029.41%Median
3.6527.40%Max
25.78%3.879Min
28.78%3.475Max
27.07%3.694Mean
27.10%3.690Median
26.92%3.715IQM
26.87%3.721Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.65 under the IQM model: 26.92%

EV -1.76%Edge -0.482%Kelly -0.664%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

BookmakerIK Oddevold (Local) ▼Varbergs BoIS (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Betsson2.45I 40.82% NM 38.15%EV -5.36% E -2.19% K -3.69% G +0.000%2.72I 36.76% NM 34.36%EV -6.28% E -2.31% K -3.65% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.49%EV -8.49% E -2.50% K -3.54% G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 13:10
NordicBet2.45I 40.82% NM 38.15%EV -5.36% E -2.19% K -3.69% G +0.000%2.72I 36.76% NM 34.36%EV -6.28% E -2.31% K -3.65% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.49%EV -8.49% E -2.50% K -3.54% G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 13:09
Coolbet2.43I 41.15% NM 39.23%EV -6.13% E -2.52% K -4.29% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.66%EV -5.25% E -1.91% K -3.00% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 26.11%EV -1.76% E -0.482% K -0.664% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-02 12:14
1xBet2.41I 41.49% NM 38.45%EV -6.90% E -2.86% K -4.89% G +0.000%2.69I 37.17% NM 34.45%EV -7.32% E -2.72% K -4.33% G +0.000%3.42I 29.24% NM 27.10%EV -7.95% E -2.32% K -3.29% G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 14:50
Marathon Bet2.41I 41.49% NM 38.45%EV -6.90% E -2.86% K -4.89% G +0.000%2.69I 37.17% NM 34.45%EV -7.32% E -2.72% K -4.33% G +0.000%3.42I 29.24% NM 27.10%EV -7.95% E -2.32% K -3.29% G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 14:49
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67% NM 38.22%EV -7.29% E -3.04% K -5.21% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 33.98%EV -6.97% E -2.58% K -4.10% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.80%EV -11.18% E -3.39% K -4.86% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-02 10:20
888sport2.40I 41.67% NM 37.17%EV -7.29% E -3.04% K -5.21% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 34.05%EV -9.73% E -3.71% K -6.01% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.78%EV -16.56% E -5.34% K -7.89% G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-30 14:00
William Hill2.40I 41.67% NM 37.17%EV -7.29% E -3.04% K -5.21% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 34.05%EV -9.73% E -3.71% K -6.01% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.78%EV -16.56% E -5.34% K -7.89% G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-30 13:59
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67% NM 37.17%EV -7.29% E -3.04% K -5.21% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 34.05%EV -9.73% E -3.71% K -6.01% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.78%EV -16.56% E -5.34% K -7.89% G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-30 14:00
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67% NM 37.17%EV -7.29% E -3.04% K -5.21% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 34.05%EV -9.73% E -3.71% K -6.01% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.78%EV -16.56% E -5.34% K -7.89% G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-30 13:59
FanDuel2.35I 42.55% NM 39.63%EV -9.22% E -3.92% K -6.83% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.50%EV -6.97% E -2.58% K -4.10% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.87%EV -3.11% E -0.863% K -1.19% G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48% NM 39.50%EV -11.15% E -4.85% K -8.58% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 34.54%EV -9.38% E -3.57% K -5.76% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.96%EV -5.80% E -1.66% K -2.32% G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-30 14:09
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48% NM 39.45%EV -11.15% E -4.85% K -8.58% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 34.63%EV -9.73% E -3.71% K -6.01% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.92%EV -5.80% E -1.66% K -2.32% G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-30 14:19
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44% NM 38.58%EV -13.08% E -5.81% K -10.47% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 34.72%EV -13.86% E -5.55% K -9.24% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 26.71%EV -12.53% E -3.85% K -5.57% G +0.000%15.2%2026-06-30 21:29
SportsBet2.20I 45.45% NM 39.84%EV -15.01% E -6.82% K -12.51% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 34.38%EV -12.14% E -4.76% K -7.83% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 25.78%EV -8.49% E -2.50% K -3.54% G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-30 14:19
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45% NM 39.11%EV -15.01% E -6.82% K -12.51% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 34.42%EV -13.86% E -5.55% K -9.24% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 26.47%EV -12.53% E -3.85% K -5.57% G +0.000%16.2%2026-06-30 14:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth