The School of Odds

IK Oddevold v Varbergs BoIS

Kickoff: 2026-07-18 11:00 UTC

Final: IK Oddevold 2–4 Varbergs BoIS

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

IK Oddevold (Local)

Prediction 40.30%2.48fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.39%40.31%40.32%42.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.102.272.252.4148%44%44%41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Varbergs BoIS (Visit)

Prediction 31.82%3.14fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.433%
Kelly -0.639%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.76%31.95%31.78%33.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.702.882.903.1037%35%34%32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.87%3.59fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -0.697%
Kelly -0.975%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.78%27.74%27.90%28.99%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.103.323.353.5032%30%30%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.41I 41.49%NM 39.59%EV -2.88%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.49%EV -3.57%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 10:50
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 10:55
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 10:55
BetAnything2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 10:55
1xBet2.37I 42.19%NM 39.49%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.31%EV -10.57%E -3.76%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.21%EV -4.11%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 10:55
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.29%E -2.25%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 10:40
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -5.29%E -2.25%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -14.07%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-18 10:50
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.64%EV -5.70%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.55%EV -6.43%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.81%EV -10.24%E -3.18%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 10:55
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 10:45
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.40%EV -5.16%E -1.73%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 10:44
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.40%EV -5.16%E -1.73%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 10:45
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -2.44%E -0.697%K -0.975%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 10:45
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -2.44%E -0.697%K -0.975%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 10:45
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 10:40
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 10:45
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 10:45
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -12.19%E -3.87%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 10:44
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 10:45
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.12%E -3.56%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-17 13:35
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.12%E -3.56%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-17 13:35
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.12%E -3.56%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-17 13:35
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.12%E -3.56%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-17 13:34
Coolbet2.27I 44.05%NM 42.00%EV -8.52%E -3.75%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -1.34%E -0.433%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -2.44%E -0.697%K -0.975%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 07:20
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -2.44%E -0.697%K -0.975%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 19:13
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-13 16:29
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-18 10:45
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -14.07%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -14.07%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 10:45
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-18 10:40
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-18 10:45
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-18 10:40
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-18 10:45
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 13:35
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 13:34
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 13:34
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 13:34
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 13:34
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 13:34
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 13:35
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.07%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-11 14:59
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -11.34%E -5.15%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-10 19:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -11.34%E -5.15%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-18 10:45
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -11.34%E -5.15%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-17 15:24
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.34%E -5.15%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-11 15:14
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -12.15%E -5.57%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.34%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 13:34
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -13.35%E -6.21%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-15 13:15
SportsBet2.12I 47.17%NM 41.19%EV -14.56%E -6.87%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -14.07%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-18 08:00
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -15.37%E -7.32%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -14.07%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-16 01:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63%1.9%2026-07-18 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63%1.9%2026-07-18 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63%1.9%2026-07-18 10:55
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63%1.9%2026-07-18 10:55