L’École des cotes

IK Oddevold v Varbergs BoIS

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-18 11:00 UTC

Score final : IK Oddevold 2–4 Varbergs BoIS

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IK Oddevold (Local)

Prévision 40.30%2.48cote équitable
EV -2.88%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -2.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.39%40.31%40.32%42.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.272.252.4147.62%44.11%44.44%41.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Varbergs BoIS (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.82%3.14cote équitable
EV -1.34%
Avantage -0.433%
Kelly -0.639%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.76%31.95%31.78%33.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.882.903.1037.04%34.73%34.48%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.87%3.59cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -0.697%
Kelly -0.975%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.78%27.74%27.90%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.323.353.5032.26%30.15%29.85%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.41I 41.49%NM 39.59%EV -2.88%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.49%EV -3.57%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 10:50
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 10:55
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 10:55
BetAnything2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 10:55
1xBet2.37I 42.19%NM 39.49%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.31%EV -10.57%E -3.76%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.21%EV -4.11%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 10:55
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.29%E -2.25%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 10:40
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -5.29%E -2.25%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -14.07%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-18 10:50
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.64%EV -5.70%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.55%EV -6.43%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.81%EV -10.24%E -3.18%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 10:55
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 10:45
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.40%EV -5.16%E -1.73%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 10:44
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.40%EV -5.16%E -1.73%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 10:45
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -2.44%E -0.697%K -0.975%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 10:45
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -2.44%E -0.697%K -0.975%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 10:45
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 10:40
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 10:45
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 10:45
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -12.19%E -3.87%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 10:44
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 10:45
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.12%E -3.56%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-17 13:35
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.12%E -3.56%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-17 13:35
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.12%E -3.56%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-17 13:35
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.12%E -3.56%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-17 13:34
Coolbet2.27I 44.05%NM 42.00%EV -8.52%E -3.75%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -1.34%E -0.433%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -2.44%E -0.697%K -0.975%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 07:20
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -2.44%E -0.697%K -0.975%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 19:13
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-13 16:29
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-18 10:45
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -14.07%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -14.07%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 10:45
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-18 10:40
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-18 10:45
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-18 10:40
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-18 10:45
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 13:35
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 13:34
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 13:34
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 13:34
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 13:34
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 13:34
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 13:35
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.07%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-11 14:59
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -11.34%E -5.15%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-10 19:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -11.34%E -5.15%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-18 10:45
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -11.34%E -5.15%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-17 15:24
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.34%E -5.15%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-11 15:14
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -12.15%E -5.57%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.34%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 13:34
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -13.35%E -6.21%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-15 13:15
SportsBet2.12I 47.17%NM 41.19%EV -14.56%E -6.87%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -14.07%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-18 08:00
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -15.37%E -7.32%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -14.07%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-16 01:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63%1.9%2026-07-18 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63%1.9%2026-07-18 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63%1.9%2026-07-18 10:55
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63%1.9%2026-07-18 10:55