La escuela de los momiosIK Oddevold v Varbergs BoIS
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
IK Oddevold (Local)
Predicción 40.30%2.48momio equitativo
EV -2.88%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -2.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.39%40.31%40.32%42.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.272.252.4147.62%44.11%44.44%41.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Varbergs BoIS (Visitante)
Predicción 31.82%3.14momio equitativo
EV -1.34%
Ventaja -0.433%
Kelly -0.639%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.76%31.95%31.78%33.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.882.903.1037.04%34.73%34.48%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.87%3.59momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -0.697%
Kelly -0.975%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.78%27.74%27.90%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.323.353.5032.26%30.15%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.59%EV -2.88%E -1.19%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.49%EV -3.57%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 10:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 10:55 |
| BetAnything | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 10:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.49%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.31%EV -10.57%E -3.76%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.21%EV -4.11%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 10:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.29%E -2.25%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-18 10:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -5.29%E -2.25%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -14.07%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-18 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.64%EV -5.70%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.55%EV -6.43%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.81%EV -10.24%E -3.18%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 10:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-18 10:45 |
| Betsson | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.40%EV -5.16%E -1.73%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 10:44 |
| NordicBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.40%EV -5.16%E -1.73%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 10:45 |
| betano_uk | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -2.44%E -0.697%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 10:45 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -2.44%E -0.697%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 10:45 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-18 10:40 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 10:45 |
| BetUS | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 10:45 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -12.19%E -3.87%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-18 10:44 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-18 10:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-18 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.12%E -3.56%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-17 13:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.12%E -3.56%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-17 13:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.12%E -3.56%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-17 13:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -8.12%E -3.56%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-17 13:34 |
| Coolbet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.00%EV -8.52%E -3.75%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -1.34%E -0.433%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -2.44%E -0.697%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-18 07:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -2.44%E -0.697%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-10 19:13 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-13 16:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-18 10:45 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -14.07%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-18 10:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -14.07%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-18 10:45 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-18 10:40 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-18 10:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-18 10:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-18 10:45 |
| betPARX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-17 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-17 13:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-17 13:34 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-17 13:34 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-17 13:34 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-17 13:34 |
| TABtouch | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-17 13:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.07%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -7.71%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-11 14:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -11.34%E -5.15%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-10 19:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -11.34%E -5.15%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-18 10:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -11.34%E -5.15%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-17 15:24 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.34%E -5.15%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.89%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-11 15:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -12.15%E -5.57%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.34%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-17 13:34 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -13.35%E -6.21%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -12.48%E -4.54%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-15 13:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.19%EV -14.56%E -6.87%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -14.07%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-07-18 08:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -15.37%E -7.32%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -14.07%E -5.21%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-16 01:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.16% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63% | 1.9% | 2026-07-18 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.16% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63% | 1.9% | 2026-07-18 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.16% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63% | 1.9% | 2026-07-18 10:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.16% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63% | 1.9% | 2026-07-18 10:55 |