Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Brage v Östersunds FK

Kickoff: 2026-05-13 17:00 UTC

Final: IK Brage 2–4 Östersunds FK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Brage (Local)

Prediction 40.76%2.45fair odd
EV -4.21%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -3.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.78%40.97%40.69%44.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.212.242.3548.78%45.26%44.64%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Östersunds FK (Visit)

Prediction 31.52%3.17fair odd
EV +4.02%
Edge +1.22%
Kelly +1.75%
Growth +0.070%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.58%31.36%31.44%32.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.992.963.3037.04%33.47%33.78%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.72%3.61fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -0.852%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.81%27.67%27.87%29.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.313.353.5034.72%30.21%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Brage (Local): 40.76%; Östersunds FK (Visit): 31.52%; Draw: 27.72%. For Östersunds FK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -12.77%E -5.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV +4.02%E +1.22%K +1.75%G +0.070%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.37%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -12.77%E -5.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV +4.02%E +1.22%K +1.75%G +0.070%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.37%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -12.77%E -5.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV +4.02%E +1.22%K +1.75%G +0.070%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.37%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 16:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -12.77%E -5.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV +4.02%E +1.22%K +1.75%G +0.070%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.37%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 16:10
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -9.10%E -4.08%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV +2.44%E +0.751%K +1.09%G +0.026%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.76%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 07:00
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -14.40%E -6.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV +0.865%E +0.270%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 12:46
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -14.40%E -6.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV +0.865%E +0.270%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 12:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -14.40%E -6.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV +0.865%E +0.270%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 12:46
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -14.40%E -6.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV +0.865%E +0.270%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 12:50
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -14.40%E -6.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV +0.865%E +0.270%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 12:45
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -14.40%E -6.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV +0.865%E +0.270%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 12:50
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -14.40%E -6.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV +0.865%E +0.270%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 12:50
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -14.40%E -6.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV +0.865%E +0.270%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 12:45
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -15.22%E -7.32%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV +0.865%E +0.270%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 12:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -16.44%E -8.02%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -0.711%E -0.226%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.53%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-13 16:10
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.79%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.30%EV -3.86%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.91%EV -5.20%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 16:56
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.44%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 15:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.44%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 15:40
BetAnything🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.44%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 15:41
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.44%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.98%E -0.852%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 16:30
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.50%EV -5.84%E -2.53%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.40%EV -6.07%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.10%EV -7.70%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 16:55
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.40%EV -6.07%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 16:20
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.40%EV -6.07%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.85%EV -7.47%E -3.29%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.22%EV -6.38%E -2.15%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.93%EV -7.97%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 16:50
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -7.01%E -2.38%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -5.76%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 06:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -7.01%E -2.38%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.01%E -2.38%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.76%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -12.36%E -5.75%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.01%E -2.38%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.53%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-13 06:49
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.59%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.76%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 16:26
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.59%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.53%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 13:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.59%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.53%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 16:26
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -9.22%E -3.20%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.53%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-13 16:30
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -12.36%E -5.75%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.22%E -3.20%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -8.53%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-13 16:26
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.17%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.53%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 16:50
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.17%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.53%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 16:50
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.17%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.91%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-13 12:25
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.74%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.76%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-13 06:49
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -11.74%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.91%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-13 11:30
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.74%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.07%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 12:35
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.74%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.07%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 12:36
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.74%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.07%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 12:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.74%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.07%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 12:35
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -12.36%E -5.75%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -11.74%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -9.91%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-13 16:31
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.32%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.30%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-13 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.32%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.30%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-13 11:30
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -14.40%E -6.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -13.32%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -9.91%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-13 16:31
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -14.89%E -5.52%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -11.30%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-13 06:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.60%EV -14.89%E -5.52%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.62%EV -20.17%E -7.00%K -10.73%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-13 16:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%1.4%2026-05-13 16:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%1.4%2026-05-13 16:31
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%1.4%2026-05-13 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 39.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45%1.9%2026-05-13 16:55