L’École des cotes

IK Brage v Östersunds FK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-13 17:00 UTC

Score final : IK Brage 2–4 Östersunds FK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IK Brage (Local)

Prévision 40.76%2.45cote équitable
EV -4.21%
Avantage -1.79%
Kelly -3.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.78%40.97%40.69%44.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.212.242.3548.78%45.26%44.64%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Östersunds FK (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.52%3.17cote équitable
EV +4.02%
Avantage +1.22%
Kelly +1.75%
Croissance +0.070%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.58%31.36%31.44%32.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.992.963.3037.04%33.47%33.78%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.72%3.61cote équitable
EV -2.98%
Avantage -0.852%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.81%27.67%27.87%29.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.313.353.5034.72%30.21%29.85%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -12.77%E -5.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV +4.02%E +1.22%K +1.75%G +0.070%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.37%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 16:10
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -12.77%E -5.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV +4.02%E +1.22%K +1.75%G +0.070%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.37%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 16:10
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -12.77%E -5.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV +4.02%E +1.22%K +1.75%G +0.070%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.37%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 16:10
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -12.77%E -5.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV +4.02%E +1.22%K +1.75%G +0.070%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.37%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 16:10
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -9.10%E -4.08%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV +2.44%E +0.751%K +1.09%G +0.026%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.76%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 07:00
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -14.40%E -6.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV +0.865%E +0.270%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 12:46
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -14.40%E -6.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV +0.865%E +0.270%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 12:50
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -14.40%E -6.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV +0.865%E +0.270%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 12:46
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -14.40%E -6.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV +0.865%E +0.270%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 12:50
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -14.40%E -6.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV +0.865%E +0.270%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 12:45
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -14.40%E -6.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV +0.865%E +0.270%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 12:50
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -14.40%E -6.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV +0.865%E +0.270%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 12:50
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -14.40%E -6.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV +0.865%E +0.270%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 12:45
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -15.22%E -7.32%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV +0.865%E +0.270%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 12:45
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -16.44%E -8.02%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -0.711%E -0.226%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.53%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-13 16:10
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 40.79%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.30%EV -3.86%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.91%EV -5.20%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 16:56
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.44%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 15:40
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.44%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 15:40
BetAnything2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.44%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 15:41
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.44%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.98%E -0.852%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 16:30
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.50%EV -5.84%E -2.53%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.40%EV -6.07%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.10%EV -7.70%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 16:55
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.40%EV -6.07%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 16:20
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.40%EV -6.07%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 16:20
Marathon Bet2.27I 44.05%NM 40.85%EV -7.47%E -3.29%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.22%EV -6.38%E -2.15%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.93%EV -7.97%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 16:50
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -7.01%E -2.38%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -5.76%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 06:49
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -7.01%E -2.38%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:20
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.01%E -2.38%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.76%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:30
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -12.36%E -5.75%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.01%E -2.38%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.53%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-13 06:49
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.59%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.76%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 16:26
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.59%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.53%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 13:05
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.59%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.53%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 16:26
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -9.22%E -3.20%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.53%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-13 16:30
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -12.36%E -5.75%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.22%E -3.20%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -8.53%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-13 16:26
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.17%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.53%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 16:50
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.17%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.53%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 16:50
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.17%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.91%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-13 12:25
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.74%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.76%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-13 06:49
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -11.74%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.91%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-13 11:30
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.74%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.07%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 12:35
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.74%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.07%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 12:36
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.74%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.07%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 12:35
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.74%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.07%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 12:35
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -12.36%E -5.75%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -11.74%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -9.91%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-13 16:31
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.32%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.30%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-13 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.32%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.30%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-13 11:30
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -14.40%E -6.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -13.32%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -9.91%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-13 16:31
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -14.89%E -5.52%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -11.30%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-13 06:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.60%EV -14.89%E -5.52%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.62%EV -20.17%E -7.00%K -10.73%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-13 16:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%1.4%2026-05-13 16:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%1.4%2026-05-13 16:31
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%1.4%2026-05-13 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 39.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45%1.9%2026-05-13 16:55