La escuela de los momios

IK Brage v Östersunds FK

Inicio: 2026-05-13 17:00 UTC

Final: IK Brage 2–4 Östersunds FK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IK Brage (Local)

Predicción 40.76%2.45momio equitativo
EV -4.21%
Ventaja -1.79%
Kelly -3.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.78%40.97%40.69%44.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.212.242.3548.78%45.26%44.64%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Östersunds FK (Visitante)

Predicción 31.52%3.17momio equitativo
EV +4.02%
Ventaja +1.22%
Kelly +1.75%
Crecimiento +0.070%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.58%31.36%31.44%32.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.992.963.3037.04%33.47%33.78%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.72%3.61momio equitativo
EV -2.98%
Ventaja -0.852%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.81%27.67%27.87%29.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.313.353.5034.72%30.21%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -12.77%E -5.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV +4.02%E +1.22%K +1.75%G +0.070%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.37%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 16:10
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -12.77%E -5.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV +4.02%E +1.22%K +1.75%G +0.070%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.37%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 16:10
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -12.77%E -5.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV +4.02%E +1.22%K +1.75%G +0.070%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.37%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 16:10
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -12.77%E -5.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV +4.02%E +1.22%K +1.75%G +0.070%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.37%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 16:10
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -9.10%E -4.08%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV +2.44%E +0.751%K +1.09%G +0.026%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.76%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 07:00
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -14.40%E -6.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV +0.865%E +0.270%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 12:46
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -14.40%E -6.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV +0.865%E +0.270%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 12:50
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -14.40%E -6.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV +0.865%E +0.270%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 12:46
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -14.40%E -6.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV +0.865%E +0.270%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 12:50
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -14.40%E -6.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV +0.865%E +0.270%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 12:45
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -14.40%E -6.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV +0.865%E +0.270%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 12:50
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -14.40%E -6.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV +0.865%E +0.270%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 12:50
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -14.40%E -6.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV +0.865%E +0.270%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 12:45
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -15.22%E -7.32%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV +0.865%E +0.270%K +0.393%G +0.003%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 12:45
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -16.44%E -8.02%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -0.711%E -0.226%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.53%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-13 16:10
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 40.79%EV -4.62%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.30%EV -3.86%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.91%EV -5.20%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 16:56
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.44%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 15:40
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.44%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 15:40
BetAnything2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.44%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 15:41
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.44%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.98%E -0.852%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 16:30
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.50%EV -5.84%E -2.53%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.40%EV -6.07%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.10%EV -7.70%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 16:55
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.40%EV -6.07%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 16:20
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.40%EV -6.07%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 16:20
Marathon Bet2.27I 44.05%NM 40.85%EV -7.47%E -3.29%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.22%EV -6.38%E -2.15%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.93%EV -7.97%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 16:50
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -7.01%E -2.38%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -5.76%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 06:49
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -7.01%E -2.38%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.14%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:20
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.01%E -2.38%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.76%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:30
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -12.36%E -5.75%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.01%E -2.38%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.53%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-13 06:49
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.59%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.76%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 16:26
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.59%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.53%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 13:05
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.59%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.53%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 16:26
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -9.22%E -3.20%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.53%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-13 16:30
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -12.36%E -5.75%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.22%E -3.20%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -8.53%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-13 16:26
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.17%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.53%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 16:50
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.17%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.53%E -2.58%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 16:50
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.17%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.91%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-13 12:25
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.74%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.76%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-13 06:49
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -11.74%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.91%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-13 11:30
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.74%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.07%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 12:35
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.74%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.07%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 12:36
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.74%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.07%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 12:35
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.74%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.07%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 12:35
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -12.36%E -5.75%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -11.74%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -9.91%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-13 16:31
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.32%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.30%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-13 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.32%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.30%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-13 11:30
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -14.40%E -6.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -13.32%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -9.91%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-13 16:31
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -14.89%E -5.52%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -11.30%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-13 06:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.60%EV -14.89%E -5.52%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.62%EV -20.17%E -7.00%K -10.73%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-13 16:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%1.4%2026-05-13 16:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%1.4%2026-05-13 16:31
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%1.4%2026-05-13 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 39.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45%1.9%2026-05-13 16:55