Language:English
IK Brage v IFK Norrkoping
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IK Brage (Local)
Prediction 27.53%3.63fair odd
EV -0.895%
Edge -0.249%
Kelly -0.344%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.03%27.50%27.45%29.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.313.303.6033.33%30.25%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IFK Norrkoping (Visit)
Prediction 46.01%2.17fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.498%
Kelly -0.931%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.43%46.05%46.01%49.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.012.002.1554.64%49.72%50.00%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.46%3.78fair odd
EV +5.30%
Edge +1.33%
Kelly +1.78%
Growth +0.094%
assuming max odds 3.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.99%26.45%26.54%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.463.453.9832.26%28.90%28.99%25.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Brage (Local): 27.53%; IFK Norrkoping (Visit): 46.01%; Draw: 26.46%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.30%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.50%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.51%EV -7.51%E -3.74%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.99%EV +5.30%E +1.33%K +1.78%G +0.094% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.43%EV -1.07%E -0.498%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17%EV -3.43%E -0.940%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.97%EV -2.82%E -0.800%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.59%EV -5.28%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.13%E -3.01%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.13%E -3.01%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.13%E -3.01%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -3.37%E -1.61%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -3.37%E -1.61%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 14:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -3.37%E -1.61%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -3.37%E -1.61%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 14:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 14:53 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -0.895%E -0.249%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -13.28%E -4.22%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -0.895%E -0.249%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -15.80%E -8.63%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.68%EV -4.20%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.65%EV -8.43%E -4.24%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.68%EV -7.93%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -6.13%E -3.01%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 14:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 14:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 14:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 14:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.87%EV -6.13%E -3.01%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 14:51 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -8.89%E -4.49%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -11.37%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.37%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 14:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 14:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -17.41%E -5.80%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-16 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.01%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.01%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.01%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.39%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.82%EV -14.41%E -7.75%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.79%EV -14.01%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -15.80%E -8.63%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -17.98%E -5.80%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |