L’École des cotes

IK Brage v IFK Norrkoping

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 15:00 UTC

Score final : IK Brage 0–0 IFK Norrkoping

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IK Brage (Local)

Prévision 27.53%3.63cote équitable
EV -0.895%
Avantage -0.249%
Kelly -0.344%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.03%27.50%27.45%29.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.313.303.6033.33%30.25%30.30%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IFK Norrkoping (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.01%2.17cote équitable
EV -1.07%
Avantage -0.498%
Kelly -0.931%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.43%46.05%46.01%49.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.832.012.002.1554.64%49.72%50.00%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.46%3.78cote équitable
EV +5.30%
Avantage +1.33%
Kelly +1.78%
Croissance +0.094%

avec la cote maximale 3.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.99%26.45%26.54%27.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.463.453.9832.26%28.90%28.99%25.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.50%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.51%EV -7.51%E -3.74%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.99%EV +5.30%E +1.33%K +1.78%G +0.094%4.7%2026-05-16 14:50
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.43%EV -1.07%E -0.498%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17%EV -3.43%E -0.940%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 14:50
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 14:55
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:45
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 14:55
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 14:55
Pinnacle3.53I 28.33%NM 26.97%EV -2.82%E -0.800%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.59%EV -5.28%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 14:55
LowVig.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.13%E -3.01%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 14:55
BetUS3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.13%E -3.01%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 14:55
BetAnything3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.13%E -3.01%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 14:55
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -3.37%E -1.61%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -3.37%E -1.61%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 14:50
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -3.37%E -1.61%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 14:55
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -3.37%E -1.61%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 14:50
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 14:35
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 14:53
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -0.895%E -0.249%K -0.344%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 14:55
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:55
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -13.28%E -4.22%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 14:55
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 14:55
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -0.895%E -0.249%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -15.80%E -8.63%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 14:55
Marathon Bet3.48I 28.74%NM 26.68%EV -4.20%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.65%EV -8.43%E -4.24%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.68%EV -7.93%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 14:55
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -6.13%E -3.01%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 14:45
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 14:50
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 14:55
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 14:55
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 14:55
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 14:55
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 14:50
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 14:50
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 14:55
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.87%EV -6.13%E -3.01%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 14:51
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 14:55
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -8.89%E -4.49%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 14:50
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 14:55
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 14:55
Everygame3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -11.37%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 14:55
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.37%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 14:55
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 14:45
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 14:45
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -17.41%E -5.80%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-16 14:25
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.01%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 14:55
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.01%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 14:55
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.01%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 14:55
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.39%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 46.82%EV -14.41%E -7.75%K -16.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.79%EV -14.01%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-16 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -15.80%E -8.63%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -17.98%E -5.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-16 14:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-05-16 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-05-16 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-05-16 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-05-16 14:55