La escuela de los momiosIK Brage v IFK Norrkoping
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
IK Brage (Local)
Predicción 27.53%3.63momio equitativo
EV -0.895%
Ventaja -0.249%
Kelly -0.344%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.03%27.50%27.45%29.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.313.303.6033.33%30.25%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
IFK Norrkoping (Visitante)
Predicción 46.01%2.17momio equitativo
EV -1.07%
Ventaja -0.498%
Kelly -0.931%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.43%46.05%46.01%49.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.832.012.002.1554.64%49.72%50.00%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.46%3.78momio equitativo
EV +5.30%
Ventaja +1.33%
Kelly +1.78%
Crecimiento +0.094%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.99%26.45%26.54%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.463.453.9832.26%28.90%28.99%25.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.50%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.51%EV -7.51%E -3.74%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.99%EV +5.30%E +1.33%K +1.78%G +0.094% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 14:50 |
| Coolbet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.43%EV -1.07%E -0.498%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17%EV -3.43%E -0.940%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 14:50 |
| DraftKings | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Bet Victor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:45 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Pinnacle | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.97%EV -2.82%E -0.800%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.59%EV -5.28%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.13%E -3.01%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| BetUS | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.13%E -3.01%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| BetAnything | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.13%E -3.01%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -3.37%E -1.61%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -3.37%E -1.61%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 14:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -3.37%E -1.61%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -3.37%E -1.61%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 14:50 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 14:35 |
| Bovada | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 14:53 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -0.895%E -0.249%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Betsson | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -13.28%E -4.22%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| betfred_uk | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -0.895%E -0.249%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -15.80%E -8.63%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.68%EV -4.20%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.65%EV -8.43%E -4.24%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.68%EV -7.93%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -6.13%E -3.01%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 14:45 |
| Unibet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 14:50 |
| TABtouch | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| LeoVegas | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Casumo | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 14:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 14:50 |
| betPARX | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| BetRivers | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.91%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.87%EV -6.13%E -3.01%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.72%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 14:51 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -8.89%E -4.49%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 14:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Everygame | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -11.37%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.37%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Sky Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 14:45 |
| Coral | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 14:45 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -17.41%E -5.80%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-16 14:25 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.01%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.01%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.01%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| SportsBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.39%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.82%EV -14.41%E -7.75%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.79%EV -14.01%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -15.80%E -8.63%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -17.98%E -5.80%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |