Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.44
assuming max odds 2.85
assuming max odds 3.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Brage (Local): 39.12%; Falkenbergs FF (Visit): 34.37%; Draw: 26.50%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -1.94%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -4.54%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.87%EV -3.07%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.98%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.94%EV -4.54%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.67%EV -5.82%E -2.12%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.59%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -4.54%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -5.13%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -8.56%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.93%E -2.03%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.93%E -2.03%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.93%E -2.03%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.93%E -2.03%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.59%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.08%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.74%EV -4.45%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.56%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-26 17:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.08%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.74%EV -4.45%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.56%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-26 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.17%EV -6.85%E -2.53%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -11.21%E -3.35%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-26 16:58 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.76%EV -4.45%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.76%EV -4.45%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-26 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-26 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -9.95%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -12.54%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -12.54%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -12.54%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -12.54%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -2.04%E -0.716%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-26 16:58 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-26 16:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -12.35%E -4.84%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.84%EV -9.23%E -3.98%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.26%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -11.21%E -3.35%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-26 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.90%EV -5.13%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.42%EV -2.47%E -0.670%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -1.94%E -0.523%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-26 16:58 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.59%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-26 16:57 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-26 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.54%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-26 16:58 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -13.86%E -4.27%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-26 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-26 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -9.95%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.20%EV -15.19%E -4.75%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-06-26 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.70%EV -15.88%E -7.39%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -14.07%E -5.63%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -4.59%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -17.84%E -8.50%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.59%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.85%EV -23.67%E -8.22%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-06-26 17:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 1.0% | 2026-06-26 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 1.0% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.50% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69% | 1.3% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.35% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.69% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95% | 1.6% | 2026-06-26 16:59 |