La escuela de los momios

IK Brage v Falkenbergs FF

Inicio: 2026-06-26 17:04 UTC

Final: IK Brage 2–4 Falkenbergs FF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IK Brage (Local)

Predicción 39.12%2.56momio equitativo
EV -4.54%
Ventaja -1.86%
Kelly -3.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.89%39.25%39.16%40.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.352.382.4447.62%42.63%42.02%40.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Falkenbergs FF (Visitante)

Predicción 34.37%2.91momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -0.716%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.59%34.39%34.33%35.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.692.702.8540.00%37.22%37.04%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.50%3.77momio equitativo
EV -1.94%
Ventaja -0.523%
Kelly -0.717%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.30%26.37%26.51%28.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.443.453.7034.72%29.11%28.99%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -4.54%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.87%EV -3.07%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.98%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 16:59
Coolbet2.44I 40.98%NM 38.94%EV -4.54%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.67%EV -5.82%E -2.12%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.59%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 16:59
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -4.54%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -5.13%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -8.56%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 16:59
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.93%E -2.03%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.93%E -2.03%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 16:59
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.93%E -2.03%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 16:59
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.93%E -2.03%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 16:59
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.59%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 16:59
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.08%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.74%EV -4.45%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.56%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-26 17:00
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 39.08%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.74%EV -4.45%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.56%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-26 17:00
Marathon Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.17%EV -6.85%E -2.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-26 16:59
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -11.21%E -3.35%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-26 16:58
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.76%EV -4.45%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-26 16:59
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.76%EV -4.45%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-26 16:59
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 16:59
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 17:00
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 16:59
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 16:59
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 16:59
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 16:59
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 17:00
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 16:59
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 16:59
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -9.95%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-26 16:59
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -12.54%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-26 16:59
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -12.54%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-26 16:59
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -12.54%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-26 16:59
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -12.54%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-26 16:59
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -2.04%E -0.716%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 16:58
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-26 16:45
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -12.35%E -4.84%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-26 16:59
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 38.84%EV -9.23%E -3.98%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.26%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -11.21%E -3.35%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-26 17:00
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.90%EV -5.13%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.42%EV -2.47%E -0.670%K -0.920%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 16:59
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -1.94%E -0.523%K -0.717%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 16:58
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.59%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-26 16:59
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-26 16:57
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-26 16:59
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-26 16:59
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-26 17:00
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-26 16:59
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.54%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-26 16:58
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-26 16:59
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -13.86%E -4.27%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-26 16:59
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-26 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-26 17:00
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -9.95%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.20%EV -15.19%E -4.75%K -6.90%G +0.000%14.9%2026-06-26 17:00
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.70%EV -15.88%E -7.39%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -14.07%E -5.63%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -4.59%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-26 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -17.84%E -8.50%K -16.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.59%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.85%EV -23.67%E -8.22%K -12.59%G +0.000%20.4%2026-06-26 17:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-06-26 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-06-26 16:59
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.50%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%1.3%2026-06-26 16:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.35%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.69%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.6%2026-06-26 16:59