L’École des cotes

IK Brage v Falkenbergs FF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-26 17:04 UTC

Score final : IK Brage 2–4 Falkenbergs FF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IK Brage (Local)

Prévision 39.12%2.56cote équitable
EV -4.54%
Avantage -1.86%
Kelly -3.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.89%39.25%39.16%40.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.352.382.4447.62%42.63%42.02%40.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Falkenbergs FF (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.37%2.91cote équitable
EV -2.04%
Avantage -0.716%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.59%34.39%34.33%35.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.692.702.8540.00%37.22%37.04%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.50%3.77cote équitable
EV -1.94%
Avantage -0.523%
Kelly -0.717%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.30%26.37%26.51%28.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.443.453.7034.72%29.11%28.99%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -4.54%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.87%EV -3.07%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.98%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 16:59
Coolbet2.44I 40.98%NM 38.94%EV -4.54%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.67%EV -5.82%E -2.12%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.59%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 16:59
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -4.54%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -5.13%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -8.56%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 16:59
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.93%E -2.03%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.93%E -2.03%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 16:59
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.93%E -2.03%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 16:59
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.93%E -2.03%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 16:59
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.59%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 16:59
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.08%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.74%EV -4.45%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.56%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-26 17:00
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 39.08%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.74%EV -4.45%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.56%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-26 17:00
Marathon Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.17%EV -6.85%E -2.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-26 16:59
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -11.21%E -3.35%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-26 16:58
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.76%EV -4.45%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-26 16:59
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.76%EV -4.45%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-26 16:59
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 16:59
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 17:00
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 16:59
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 16:59
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 16:59
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 16:59
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 17:00
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 16:59
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 16:59
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -9.95%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-26 16:59
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -12.54%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-26 16:59
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -12.54%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-26 16:59
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -12.54%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-26 16:59
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -12.54%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-26 16:59
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -2.04%E -0.716%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 16:58
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-26 16:45
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -12.35%E -4.84%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-26 16:59
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 38.84%EV -9.23%E -3.98%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.26%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -11.21%E -3.35%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-26 17:00
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.90%EV -5.13%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.42%EV -2.47%E -0.670%K -0.920%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 16:59
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -1.94%E -0.523%K -0.717%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 16:58
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.59%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-26 16:59
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-26 16:57
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-26 16:59
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-26 16:59
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-26 17:00
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-26 16:59
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.54%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-26 16:58
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-26 16:59
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -13.86%E -4.27%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-26 16:59
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-26 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-26 17:00
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -9.95%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.20%EV -15.19%E -4.75%K -6.90%G +0.000%14.9%2026-06-26 17:00
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.70%EV -15.88%E -7.39%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -14.07%E -5.63%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -4.59%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-26 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -17.84%E -8.50%K -16.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.59%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.85%EV -23.67%E -8.22%K -12.59%G +0.000%20.4%2026-06-26 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-06-26 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-06-26 16:59
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.50%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%1.3%2026-06-26 16:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.35%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.69%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.6%2026-06-26 16:59