Language:English
IFK Värnamo v Örebro SK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IFK Värnamo (Local)
Prediction 45.88%2.18fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.10%45.99%45.90%48.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.982.002.1253.48%50.42%50.00%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Örebro SK (Visit)
Prediction 25.80%3.88fair odd
EV +0.639%
Edge +0.164%
Kelly +0.220%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.37%25.76%25.89%27.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.573.603.9031.25%28.00%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.32%3.53fair odd
EV -0.894%
Edge -0.255%
Kelly -0.358%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.76%28.25%28.21%29.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.263.263.5034.72%30.67%30.67%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IFK Värnamo (Local): 45.88%; Örebro SK (Visit): 25.80%; Draw: 28.32%. For Örebro SK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.639%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.04%EV -9.16%E -4.63%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV +0.639%E +0.164%K +0.220%G +0.001% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -2.31%E -0.670%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 15:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.32%EV -6.87%E -3.38%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.94%E -0.511%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.32%EV -6.87%E -3.38%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.94%E -0.511%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 16:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.32%EV -6.87%E -3.38%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.94%E -0.511%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 16:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.94%E -0.511%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -10.99%E -5.67%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.23%E -0.862%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -0.894%E -0.255%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -10.99%E -5.67%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.23%E -0.862%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -0.894%E -0.255%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 16:11 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -10.99%E -5.67%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.23%E -0.862%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -0.894%E -0.255%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 16:11 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -10.99%E -5.67%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.23%E -0.862%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -0.894%E -0.255%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.23%EV -5.49%E -2.66%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.67%EV -4.26%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.09%EV -4.01%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 16:46 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -12.83%E -6.75%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-12 16:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -5.81%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 16:41 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%EV -13.29%E -7.03%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -5.81%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-12 16:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-12 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.13%EV -14.21%E -7.60%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -5.14%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.67%EV -6.87%E -3.38%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -7.62%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.44%EV -7.69%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 16:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.68%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-12 16:56 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.68%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-12 16:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.68%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-12 16:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.68%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-12 16:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.20%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.20%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 16:21 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 16:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 16:11 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-12 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-12 16:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -10.54%E -5.40%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-12 16:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-12 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-12 16:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-12 16:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-12 16:16 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-12 16:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-12 16:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-12 16:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -10.54%E -5.40%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-12 16:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.10%EV -2.74%E -1.29%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.66%EV -12.78%E -3.78%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.24%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -13.55%E -4.05%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -10.80%E -3.43%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-12 16:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -17.42%E -5.45%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -18.45%E -6.41%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-05-12 16:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-05-12 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-05-12 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-05-12 16:41 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-05-12 16:35 |