L’École des cotesFrançais
IFK Värnamo v Örebro SK
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
IFK Värnamo (Local)
Prévision 45.88%2.18cote équitable
EV -2.74%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -2.44%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.12
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.10%45.99%45.90%48.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.871.982.002.1253.48%50.42%50.00%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Örebro SK (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.80%3.88cote équitable
EV +0.639%
Avantage +0.164%
Kelly +0.220%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 3.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.37%25.76%25.89%27.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.573.603.9031.25%28.00%27.78%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.32%3.53cote équitable
EV -0.894%
Avantage -0.255%
Kelly -0.358%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.76%28.25%28.21%29.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.263.263.5034.72%30.67%30.67%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.04%EV -9.16%E -4.63%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV +0.639%E +0.164%K +0.220%G +0.001% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -2.31%E -0.670%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 15:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.32%EV -6.87%E -3.38%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.94%E -0.511%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.32%EV -6.87%E -3.38%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.94%E -0.511%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 16:35 |
| BetAnything | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.32%EV -6.87%E -3.38%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.94%E -0.511%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 16:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.94%E -0.511%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -10.99%E -5.67%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.23%E -0.862%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -0.894%E -0.255%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -10.99%E -5.67%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.23%E -0.862%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -0.894%E -0.255%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 16:11 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -10.99%E -5.67%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.23%E -0.862%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -0.894%E -0.255%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 16:11 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -10.99%E -5.67%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.23%E -0.862%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -0.894%E -0.255%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.23%EV -5.49%E -2.66%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.67%EV -4.26%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.09%EV -4.01%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 16:46 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| Casumo | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| betPARX | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -12.83%E -6.75%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-12 16:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -5.81%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 16:41 |
| BetRivers | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%EV -13.29%E -7.03%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -5.81%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-12 16:15 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-12 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.13%EV -14.21%E -7.60%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -5.14%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.67%EV -6.87%E -3.38%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -7.62%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.44%EV -7.69%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 16:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.68%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-12 16:56 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.68%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-12 16:45 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.68%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-12 16:20 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.68%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-12 16:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.20%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 16:20 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.20%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 16:21 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 16:54 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-12 16:11 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-12 16:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-12 16:45 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -10.54%E -5.40%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-12 16:45 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-12 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-12 16:15 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-12 16:15 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-12 16:16 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-12 16:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-12 16:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-12 16:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -10.54%E -5.40%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-12 16:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.10%EV -2.74%E -1.29%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.66%EV -12.78%E -3.78%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.24%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -13.55%E -4.05%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -10.80%E -3.43%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-12 16:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -17.42%E -5.45%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -18.45%E -6.41%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-05-12 16:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-05-12 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-05-12 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-05-12 16:41 |
| Matchbook | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-05-12 16:35 |