A Escola das Odds

IFK Värnamo v Örebro SK

Início: 2026-05-12 17:00 UTC

Final: IFK Värnamo 0–1 Örebro SK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

IFK Värnamo (Local)

Previsão 45.88%2.18odd justa
EV -2.74%
Vantagem -1.29%
Kelly -2.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.10%45.99%45.90%48.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.871.982.002.1253.48%50.42%50.00%47.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Örebro SK (Visitante)

Previsão 25.80%3.88odd justa
EV +0.639%
Vantagem +0.164%
Kelly +0.220%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.37%25.76%25.89%27.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.573.603.9031.25%28.00%27.78%25.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.32%3.53odd justa
EV -0.894%
Vantagem -0.255%
Kelly -0.358%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.76%28.25%28.21%29.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.263.263.5034.72%30.67%30.67%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.04%EV -9.16%E -4.63%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV +0.639%E +0.164%K +0.220%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -2.31%E -0.670%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 15:45
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.32%EV -6.87%E -3.38%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.94%E -0.511%K -0.693%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 16:35
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.32%EV -6.87%E -3.38%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.94%E -0.511%K -0.693%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 16:35
BetAnything2.03I 49.26%NM 46.32%EV -6.87%E -3.38%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.94%E -0.511%K -0.693%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 16:35
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.94%E -0.511%K -0.693%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 16:45
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -10.99%E -5.67%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.23%E -0.862%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -0.894%E -0.255%K -0.358%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -10.99%E -5.67%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.23%E -0.862%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -0.894%E -0.255%K -0.358%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 16:11
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -10.99%E -5.67%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.23%E -0.862%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -0.894%E -0.255%K -0.358%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 16:11
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -10.99%E -5.67%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.23%E -0.862%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -0.894%E -0.255%K -0.358%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 16:10
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 46.23%EV -5.49%E -2.66%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.67%EV -4.26%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.09%EV -4.01%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 16:46
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 16:10
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 16:10
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 16:10
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 16:10
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 16:10
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 16:10
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 16:10
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 16:10
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -12.83%E -6.75%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-12 16:30
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -5.81%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:41
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%EV -13.29%E -7.03%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -5.81%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-12 16:10
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-12 16:15
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.13%EV -14.21%E -7.60%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -5.14%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 16:10
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.67%EV -6.87%E -3.38%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.90%EV -7.62%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.44%EV -7.69%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 16:50
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.68%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 16:56
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.68%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 16:45
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.68%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-12 16:20
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.68%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-12 16:45
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.20%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 16:20
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -4.57%E -2.20%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 16:21
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 16:54
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 16:11
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-12 16:15
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-12 16:45
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -10.54%E -5.40%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-12 16:45
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 16:15
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-12 16:15
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-12 16:16
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-12 16:15
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-12 16:15
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-12 16:15
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -10.54%E -5.40%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-12 16:45
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.10%EV -2.74%E -1.29%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.66%EV -12.78%E -3.78%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.24%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 16:55
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -13.55%E -4.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -10.80%E -3.43%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-12 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -17.42%E -5.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -18.45%E -6.41%K -9.81%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-12 16:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-05-12 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-05-12 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-05-12 16:41
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-05-12 16:35