Language:English
IFK Värnamo v Norrby IF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IFK Värnamo (Local)
Prediction 49.00%2.04fair odd
EV -4.44%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -4.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.72%49.22%49.03%52.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.841.851.9558.82%54.31%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Norrby IF (Visit)
Prediction 25.05%3.99fair odd
EV +6.47%
Edge +1.52%
Kelly +1.99%
Growth +0.129%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.12%24.84%25.10%26.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.773.724.2529.41%26.50%26.88%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.94%3.85fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.371%
Kelly -0.504%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.33%25.94%25.88%28.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.543.603.8033.33%28.26%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IFK Värnamo (Local): 49.00%; Norrby IF (Visit): 25.05%; Draw: 25.94%. For Norrby IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.99. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.47%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -12.77%E -7.18%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV +6.47%E +1.52%K +1.99%G +0.129% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -2.71%E -0.722%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -12.77%E -7.18%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV +6.47%E +1.52%K +1.99%G +0.129% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -2.71%E -0.722%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -12.77%E -7.18%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV +6.47%E +1.52%K +1.99%G +0.129% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -2.71%E -0.722%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -12.77%E -7.18%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV +6.47%E +1.52%K +1.99%G +0.129% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -2.71%E -0.722%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.77%EV -5.91%E -3.08%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.92%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -14.73%E -8.47%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -14.73%E -8.47%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -14.73%E -8.47%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -14.73%E -8.47%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -14.73%E -8.47%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -14.73%E -8.47%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -14.73%E -8.47%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -14.73%E -8.47%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.74%EV -15.22%E -8.80%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -5.30%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -16.69%E -9.82%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV +0.206%E +0.052%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -4.80%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 01:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.09%EV -13.26%E -7.49%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -4.80%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-17 02:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -5.30%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.89%E -3.63%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.89%E -3.63%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.89%E -3.63%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.78%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.44%EV -6.31%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.78%EV -4.26%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.05%EV -6.89%E -3.63%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.05%EV -6.81%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.32%EV -7.87%E -4.19%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.92%EV -6.81%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -5.42%E -2.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -5.91%E -3.08%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -5.91%E -3.08%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -7.87%E -4.19%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.56%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 04:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -7.87%E -4.19%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.56%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 04:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -9.34%E -5.05%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.41%E -0.371%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 02:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-17 04:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -7.87%E -4.19%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-17 02:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.34%E -5.05%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-17 02:01 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -6.89%E -3.63%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-17 02:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -11.79%E -6.55%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-17 14:12 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.34%E -5.05%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-17 04:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.34%E -5.05%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-17 04:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -11.79%E -6.55%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -22.17%E -7.39%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-17 02:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.82%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.82%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.82%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.82%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02% | 1.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02% | 1.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |