L’École des cotes

IFK Värnamo v Norrby IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 15:00 UTC

Score final : IFK Värnamo 2–2 Norrby IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IFK Värnamo (Local)

Prévision 49.00%2.04cote équitable
EV -4.44%
Avantage -2.28%
Kelly -4.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.72%49.22%49.03%52.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.841.851.9558.82%54.31%54.05%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Norrby IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.05%3.99cote équitable
EV +6.47%
Avantage +1.52%
Kelly +1.99%
Croissance +0.129%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.12%24.84%25.10%26.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.773.724.2529.41%26.50%26.88%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.94%3.85cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.371%
Kelly -0.504%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.33%25.94%25.88%28.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.543.603.8033.33%28.26%27.78%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -12.77%E -7.18%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV +6.47%E +1.52%K +1.99%G +0.129%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -2.71%E -0.722%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 05:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -12.77%E -7.18%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV +6.47%E +1.52%K +1.99%G +0.129%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -2.71%E -0.722%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 05:45
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -12.77%E -7.18%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV +6.47%E +1.52%K +1.99%G +0.129%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -2.71%E -0.722%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 05:45
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -12.77%E -7.18%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV +6.47%E +1.52%K +1.99%G +0.129%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -2.71%E -0.722%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 05:45
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.77%EV -5.91%E -3.08%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.92%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -14.73%E -8.47%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 05:45
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -14.73%E -8.47%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 05:45
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -14.73%E -8.47%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 05:45
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -14.73%E -8.47%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 05:45
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -14.73%E -8.47%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 05:45
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -14.73%E -8.47%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 05:45
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -14.73%E -8.47%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 05:45
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -14.73%E -8.47%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 05:45
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 52.74%EV -15.22%E -8.80%K -20.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -5.30%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 05:45
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -16.69%E -9.82%K -23.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV +0.206%E +0.052%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 05:45
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -4.80%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 01:59
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.09%EV -13.26%E -7.49%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -4.80%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 02:01
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -5.30%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 14:24
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.89%E -3.63%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 14:24
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.89%E -3.63%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 14:24
BetAnything1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.89%E -3.63%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 48.78%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.44%EV -6.31%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.78%EV -4.26%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 14:25
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.05%EV -6.89%E -3.63%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.05%EV -6.81%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 14:24
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.32%EV -7.87%E -4.19%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.92%EV -6.81%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 14:24
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -5.42%E -2.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 10:39
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -5.91%E -3.08%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -5.91%E -3.08%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -7.87%E -4.19%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.56%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 04:18
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -7.87%E -4.19%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.56%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 04:15
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -9.34%E -5.05%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.41%E -0.371%K -0.504%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 14:25
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 02:00
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 04:15
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -7.87%E -4.19%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 02:00
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.34%E -5.05%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 14:25
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 02:01
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -6.89%E -3.63%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:24
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 02:00
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -11.79%E -6.55%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-17 14:12
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.34%E -5.05%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-17 04:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.34%E -5.05%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-17 04:15
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -11.79%E -6.55%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -22.17%E -7.39%K -11.08%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-17 02:00
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.82%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 14:25
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.82%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 14:24
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.82%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 14:24
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.82%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-05-17 14:25