La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
IFK Värnamo v Norrby IF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
IFK Värnamo (Local)
Predicción 49.00%2.04momio equitativo
EV -4.44%
Ventaja -2.28%
Kelly -4.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.72%49.22%49.03%52.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.841.851.9558.82%54.31%54.05%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Norrby IF (Visitante)
Predicción 25.05%3.99momio equitativo
EV +6.47%
Ventaja +1.52%
Kelly +1.99%
Crecimiento +0.129%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.12%24.84%25.10%26.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.773.724.2529.41%26.50%26.88%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.94%3.85momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.371%
Kelly -0.504%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.33%25.94%25.88%28.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.543.603.8033.33%28.26%27.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -12.77%E -7.18%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV +6.47%E +1.52%K +1.99%G +0.129% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -2.71%E -0.722%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -12.77%E -7.18%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV +6.47%E +1.52%K +1.99%G +0.129% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -2.71%E -0.722%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -12.77%E -7.18%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV +6.47%E +1.52%K +1.99%G +0.129% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -2.71%E -0.722%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -12.77%E -7.18%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV +6.47%E +1.52%K +1.99%G +0.129% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -2.71%E -0.722%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.77%EV -5.91%E -3.08%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.92%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Unibet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -14.73%E -8.47%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -14.73%E -8.47%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -14.73%E -8.47%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -14.73%E -8.47%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -14.73%E -8.47%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -14.73%E -8.47%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| Casumo | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -14.73%E -8.47%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| betPARX | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -14.73%E -8.47%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.74%EV -15.22%E -8.80%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV +2.71%E +0.661%K +0.875%G +0.024% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -5.30%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -16.69%E -9.82%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV +0.206%E +0.052%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -4.80%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 01:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.09%EV -13.26%E -7.49%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -4.80%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-17 02:01 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -5.30%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.89%E -3.63%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.89%E -3.63%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| BetAnything | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.89%E -3.63%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.78%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.44%EV -6.31%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.78%EV -4.26%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.05%EV -6.89%E -3.63%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.05%EV -6.81%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.32%EV -7.87%E -4.19%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.92%EV -6.81%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Bet Victor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -5.42%E -2.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -5.91%E -3.08%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -5.91%E -3.08%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Bovada | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -7.87%E -4.19%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.56%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 04:18 |
| BetUS | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -7.87%E -4.19%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.56%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 04:15 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -9.34%E -5.05%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.41%E -0.371%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 02:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-17 04:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -7.87%E -4.19%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-17 02:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.34%E -5.05%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.81%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-17 02:01 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -6.89%E -3.63%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-17 02:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -11.79%E -6.55%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-17 14:12 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.34%E -5.05%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-17 04:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.34%E -5.05%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-17 04:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -11.79%E -6.55%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -22.17%E -7.39%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-17 02:00 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.82%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.82%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.82%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.82%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02% | 1.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02% | 1.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |