IFK Värnamo v IK Brage

2026-07-25 13:00 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

41%

33%

26%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

IFK Värnamo (Local)

Prediction 40.84%2.45fair odd

EV -6.07%

Edge -2.64%

Kelly -4.67%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

40.62%40.84%40.84%41.04%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.202.262.252.3045%44%44%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

IK Brage (Visit)

Prediction 33.45%2.99fair odd

EV -6.33%

Edge -2.26%

Kelly -3.52%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

33.22%33.45%33.45%34.01%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.652.762.752.8038%36%36%36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 25.71%3.89fair odd

EV -4.88%

Edge -1.32%

Kelly -1.81%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.03%25.71%25.71%26.12%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.453.583.553.7029%28%28%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Unibet (SE)	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-18 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-18 13:10
Svenska Spel	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-18 13:10
ATG (SE)	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-18 13:10
NordicBet	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -6.89%E -3.02%K -5.38%G +0.000%	2.78I 35.97%NM 33.66%EV -7.00%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.88%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-18 13:10
Betsson	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -6.89%E -3.02%K -5.38%G +0.000%	2.78I 35.97%NM 33.66%EV -7.00%E -2.52%K -3.93%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.88%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-18 13:10
1xBet	2.27I 44.05%NM 40.62%EV -7.30%E -3.21%K -5.74%G +0.000%	2.73I 36.63%NM 33.77%EV -8.67%E -3.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-07-18 13:20
Unibet	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.11%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.74%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-07-18 13:05
Virgin Bet	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.11%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.74%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-07-18 13:05
Casumo	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.11%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.74%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-07-18 13:05
Unibet (NL)	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.11%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.74%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-07-18 13:10
TABtouch	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.11%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.74%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-07-18 13:10
Grosvenor	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.11%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.74%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-07-18 13:10
betPARX	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.11%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.74%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-07-18 13:10
BetRivers	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.11%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.03%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-07-18 13:05
LeoVegas	2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -10.15%E -4.62%K -8.46%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -11.35%E -4.28%K -6.88%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-07-18 13:10
LiveScore Bet	2.20I 45.45%NM 40.77%EV -10.15%E -4.62%K -8.46%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -11.31%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-07-18 13:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.