La escuela de los momiosIFK Värnamo v IK Brage
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
IFK Värnamo (Local)
Predicción 43.19%2.32momio equitativo
EV -4.99%
Ventaja -2.27%
Kelly -4.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.79%43.11%43.19%44.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.132.132.2050.00%46.90%46.84%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
IK Brage (Visitante)
Predicción 31.25%3.20momio equitativo
EV -1.57%
Ventaja -0.499%
Kelly -0.731%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.23%31.25%31.24%32.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.942.953.1537.04%34.00%33.90%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.57%3.91momio equitativo
EV -2.85%
Ventaja -0.749%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.71%25.64%25.57%27.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.553.553.8030.30%28.20%28.17%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-25 04:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-24 13:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-24 13:10 |
| BetAnything | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-24 17:15 |
| betano_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-25 12:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.52%EV -5.42%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.65%EV -2.82%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.83%EV -5.66%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -5.85%E -2.69%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.88%E -2.31%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-19 14:20 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -5.85%E -2.69%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.88%E -2.31%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-19 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.32%EV -6.72%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.32%EV -6.72%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.32%EV -6.72%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.32%EV -6.72%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -6.72%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.15%EV -6.57%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.73%EV -7.45%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-24 20:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 04:09 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-25 12:53 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -9.24%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-25 12:55 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.52%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-25 12:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.52%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 13:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -14.07%E -5.12%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-25 12:55 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -15.63%E -4.74%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-25 04:05 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -15.63%E -4.74%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-25 04:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -15.63%E -4.74%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-25 04:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -15.63%E -4.74%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-25 04:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.30%EV -7.58%E -3.54%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.10%EV -6.88%E -2.31%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.60%EV -7.45%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-24 20:49 |
| Coolbet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.71%EV -8.01%E -3.76%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -1.57%E -0.499%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -2.85%E -0.749%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.24%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.24%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.24%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.24%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.24%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.24%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.24%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.79%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.52%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-25 12:19 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.56%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.52%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.24%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-25 10:00 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-25 10:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -10.01%E -3.48%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-25 10:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -10.01%E -3.48%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-25 12:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.52%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-25 10:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -10.01%E -3.48%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.52%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-25 04:10 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.32%E -3.60%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-25 12:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.32%E -3.60%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-25 12:04 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.52%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-25 04:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.61%EV -10.60%E -5.12%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.52%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -11.47%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -14.35%E -4.28%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-24 09:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 42.82%EV -12.33%E -6.07%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.61%EV -14.07%E -5.12%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-07-25 10:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.25%EV -13.63%E -6.81%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.04%EV -15.63%E -5.79%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.71%EV -10.52%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-07-23 01:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.1% | 2026-07-25 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.95% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89% | 1.9% | 2026-07-25 12:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.95% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89% | 1.9% | 2026-07-25 12:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.95% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89% | 1.9% | 2026-07-25 12:55 |