L’École des cotes

IFK Värnamo v IK Brage

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-25 13:00 UTC

Score final : IFK Värnamo 0–0 IK Brage

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IFK Värnamo (Local)

Prévision 43.19%2.32cote équitable
EV -4.99%
Avantage -2.27%
Kelly -4.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.79%43.11%43.19%44.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.132.132.2050.00%46.90%46.84%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IK Brage (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.25%3.20cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -0.499%
Kelly -0.731%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.23%31.25%31.24%32.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.942.953.1537.04%34.00%33.90%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.57%3.91cote équitable
EV -2.85%
Avantage -0.749%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.71%25.64%25.57%27.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.553.553.8030.30%28.20%28.17%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 04:05
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 13:09
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 13:10
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 17:15
betano_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 12:55
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 43.52%EV -5.42%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.65%EV -2.82%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.83%EV -5.66%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 12:35
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -5.85%E -2.69%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.88%E -2.31%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 14:20
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -5.85%E -2.69%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.88%E -2.31%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 14:20
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.32%EV -6.72%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.32%EV -6.72%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 12:30
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 43.32%EV -6.72%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 12:30
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.32%EV -6.72%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 12:30
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -6.72%E -3.11%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.15%EV -6.57%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.73%EV -7.45%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 20:55
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 04:09
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 12:53
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -9.24%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 12:55
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.52%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 12:49
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.52%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-22 13:09
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -14.07%E -5.12%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 12:55
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -15.63%E -4.74%K -6.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 04:05
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -15.63%E -4.74%K -6.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 04:05
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -15.63%E -4.74%K -6.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 04:05
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -7.15%E -3.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -15.63%E -4.74%K -6.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 04:04
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.30%EV -7.58%E -3.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.10%EV -6.88%E -2.31%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.60%EV -7.45%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 20:49
Coolbet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.71%EV -8.01%E -3.76%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -1.57%E -0.499%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -2.85%E -0.749%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 12:35
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.24%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 12:30
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.24%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 12:30
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.24%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 12:30
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.24%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 12:30
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.24%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 12:30
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.24%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 12:30
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.24%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 12:30
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.79%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.52%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 12:19
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 42.56%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.52%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 12:30
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.24%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 12:30
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 10:00
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 10:40
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -10.01%E -3.48%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 10:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -10.01%E -3.48%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 12:45
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.52%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 10:00
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -10.01%E -3.48%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.52%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-25 04:10
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.32%E -3.60%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 12:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.32%E -3.60%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 12:04
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.31%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.52%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 04:05
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.61%EV -10.60%E -5.12%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.52%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 12:30
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -11.47%E -5.59%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -14.35%E -4.28%K -6.11%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-24 09:55
SportsBet2.03I 49.26%NM 42.82%EV -12.33%E -6.07%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.61%EV -14.07%E -5.12%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-25 10:00
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.25%EV -13.63%E -6.81%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.04%EV -15.63%E -5.79%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.71%EV -10.52%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-23 01:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.1%2026-07-25 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 41.95%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%1.9%2026-07-25 12:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 41.95%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%1.9%2026-07-25 12:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 41.95%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%1.9%2026-07-25 12:55