Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IFK Norrkoping v Nordic United FC

Kickoff: 2026-05-13 17:00 UTC

Final: IFK Norrkoping 1–1 Nordic United FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IFK Norrkoping (Local)

Prediction 52.26%1.91fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.34%52.50%52.23%55.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.731.741.8761.73%57.77%57.47%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nordic United FC (Visit)

Prediction 23.62%4.23fair odd
EV +8.65%
Edge +1.88%
Kelly +2.40%
Growth +0.208%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.36%23.40%23.65%25.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.084.004.6028.57%24.51%25.00%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.12%4.15fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -0.879%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.11%24.10%24.11%25.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.773.804.0030.30%26.51%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IFK Norrkoping (Local): 52.26%; Nordic United FC (Visit): 23.62%; Draw: 24.12%. For Nordic United FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.23. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.65%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -11.16%E -6.56%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +8.65%E +1.88%K +2.40%G +0.208%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.93%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -11.16%E -6.56%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +8.65%E +1.88%K +2.40%G +0.208%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.93%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -11.16%E -6.56%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +8.65%E +1.88%K +2.40%G +0.208%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.93%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -11.16%E -6.56%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +8.65%E +1.88%K +2.40%G +0.208%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.93%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:35
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -13.25%E -7.98%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +6.29%E +1.40%K +1.80%G +0.113%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:35
LeoVegas🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -13.25%E -7.98%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +6.29%E +1.40%K +1.80%G +0.113%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -13.25%E -7.98%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +6.29%E +1.40%K +1.80%G +0.113%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -13.25%E -7.98%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +6.29%E +1.40%K +1.80%G +0.113%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -13.25%E -7.98%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +6.29%E +1.40%K +1.80%G +0.113%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:35
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -13.25%E -7.98%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +6.29%E +1.40%K +1.80%G +0.113%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:35
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -13.25%E -7.98%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +6.29%E +1.40%K +1.80%G +0.113%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:31
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -13.25%E -7.98%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +6.29%E +1.40%K +1.80%G +0.113%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:31
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -13.77%E -8.35%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV +6.29%E +1.40%K +1.80%G +0.113%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.55%EV -15.34%E -9.47%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV +3.92%E +0.892%K +1.15%G +0.045%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -9.55%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-13 16:35
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -9.07%E -5.21%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -0.799%E -0.190%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 16:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -13.77%E -8.35%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -5.93%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-13 16:31
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.65%EV -4.81%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.26%EV -5.20%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 16:56
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:20
BetUS🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:25
BetAnything🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:25
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.12%EV -6.46%E -3.61%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -8.55%E -4.88%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.93%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 16:40
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.63%EV -9.59%E -5.54%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.75%E -2.91%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 16:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.34%EV -7.50%E -4.24%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.28%EV -6.00%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 16:20
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.04%EV -2.27%E -1.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.91%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -4.72%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 16:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.93%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 16:44
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.84%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:45
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.84%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:45
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -8.02%E -4.56%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.52%EV -9.07%E -5.21%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-13 16:40
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -9.59%E -5.54%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -15.58%E -4.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-13 16:25
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.55%E -4.88%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.07%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -9.55%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -8.55%E -4.88%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.55%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-13 16:40
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.33%EV -13.25%E -7.98%K -20.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -15.58%E -4.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-13 16:25
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -7.50%E -4.24%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -3.52%E -0.879%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:20
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -9.59%E -5.54%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -9.55%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-13 16:46
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.55%E -4.88%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.58%E -4.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.55%E -4.88%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.58%E -4.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 16:55
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.55%E -4.88%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.58%E -4.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.55%E -4.88%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.58%E -4.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -13.79%E -3.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -11.96%E -3.28%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-13 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 50.76%EV -12.73%E -7.62%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.55%EV -14.97%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.69%EV -20.40%E -6.18%K -8.87%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-13 16:25
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.57%EV -11.16%E -6.56%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -17.33%E -4.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -9.55%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-13 16:21
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.83%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-05-13 16:56
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.83%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-05-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09%1.3%2026-05-13 16:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09%1.3%2026-05-13 16:50