La escuela de los momios

IFK Norrkoping v Nordic United FC

Inicio: 2026-05-13 17:00 UTC

Final: IFK Norrkoping 1–1 Nordic United FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IFK Norrkoping (Local)

Predicción 52.26%1.91momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -2.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.34%52.50%52.23%55.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.731.741.8761.73%57.77%57.47%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Nordic United FC (Visitante)

Predicción 23.62%4.23momio equitativo
EV +8.65%
Ventaja +1.88%
Kelly +2.40%
Crecimiento +0.208%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.36%23.40%23.65%25.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.084.004.6028.57%24.51%25.00%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.12%4.15momio equitativo
EV -3.52%
Ventaja -0.879%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.11%24.10%24.11%25.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.773.804.0030.30%26.51%26.32%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -11.16%E -6.56%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +8.65%E +1.88%K +2.40%G +0.208%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.93%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:35
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -11.16%E -6.56%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +8.65%E +1.88%K +2.40%G +0.208%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.93%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:35
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -11.16%E -6.56%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +8.65%E +1.88%K +2.40%G +0.208%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.93%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:31
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -11.16%E -6.56%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +8.65%E +1.88%K +2.40%G +0.208%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.93%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:35
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -13.25%E -7.98%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +6.29%E +1.40%K +1.80%G +0.113%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:35
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -13.25%E -7.98%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +6.29%E +1.40%K +1.80%G +0.113%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:35
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -13.25%E -7.98%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +6.29%E +1.40%K +1.80%G +0.113%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:35
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -13.25%E -7.98%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +6.29%E +1.40%K +1.80%G +0.113%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:35
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -13.25%E -7.98%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +6.29%E +1.40%K +1.80%G +0.113%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:35
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -13.25%E -7.98%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +6.29%E +1.40%K +1.80%G +0.113%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:35
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -13.25%E -7.98%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +6.29%E +1.40%K +1.80%G +0.113%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:31
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -13.25%E -7.98%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +6.29%E +1.40%K +1.80%G +0.113%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:31
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -13.77%E -8.35%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV +6.29%E +1.40%K +1.80%G +0.113%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 16:35
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.55%EV -15.34%E -9.47%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV +3.92%E +0.892%K +1.15%G +0.045%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -9.55%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-13 16:35
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -9.07%E -5.21%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -0.799%E -0.190%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 16:24
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -13.77%E -8.35%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -5.93%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-13 16:31
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.65%EV -4.81%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.26%EV -5.20%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 16:56
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:20
BetUS1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:25
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:25
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.12%EV -6.46%E -3.61%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:55
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -8.55%E -4.88%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.93%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 16:40
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.63%EV -9.59%E -5.54%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.75%E -2.91%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 16:24
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.34%EV -7.50%E -4.24%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.28%EV -6.00%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 16:20
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.04%EV -2.27%E -1.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 16:50
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.91%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -4.72%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 16:25
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.93%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 16:44
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.84%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:45
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.84%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:45
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -8.02%E -4.56%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:55
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.52%EV -9.07%E -5.21%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-13 16:40
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -9.59%E -5.54%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -15.58%E -4.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-13 16:25
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.55%E -4.88%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.07%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -9.55%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 16:20
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -8.55%E -4.88%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.55%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-13 16:40
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 52.33%EV -13.25%E -7.98%K -20.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -15.58%E -4.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-13 16:25
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -7.50%E -4.24%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -3.52%E -0.879%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:20
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -9.59%E -5.54%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -9.55%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-13 16:46
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.55%E -4.88%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.58%E -4.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 16:55
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.55%E -4.88%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.58%E -4.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 16:55
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.55%E -4.88%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.58%E -4.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.55%E -4.88%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.58%E -4.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 16:55
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -13.79%E -3.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -11.96%E -3.28%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-13 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.76%EV -12.73%E -7.62%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.55%EV -14.97%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.69%EV -20.40%E -6.18%K -8.87%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-13 16:25
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 51.57%EV -11.16%E -6.56%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -17.33%E -4.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -9.55%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-13 16:21
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.83%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-05-13 16:56
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.83%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-05-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09%1.3%2026-05-13 16:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09%1.3%2026-05-13 16:50