L’École des cotes

IFK Norrkoping v Nordic United FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-13 17:00 UTC

Score final : IFK Norrkoping 1–1 Nordic United FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IFK Norrkoping (Local)

Prévision 52.26%1.91cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -2.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.34%52.50%52.23%55.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.731.741.8761.73%57.77%57.47%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Nordic United FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.62%4.23cote équitable
EV +8.65%
Avantage +1.88%
Kelly +2.40%
Croissance +0.208%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.36%23.40%23.65%25.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.084.004.6028.57%24.51%25.00%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.12%4.15cote équitable
EV -3.52%
Avantage -0.879%
Kelly -1.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.11%24.10%24.11%25.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.773.804.0030.30%26.51%26.32%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -11.16%E -6.56%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +8.65%E +1.88%K +2.40%G +0.208%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.93%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:35
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -11.16%E -6.56%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +8.65%E +1.88%K +2.40%G +0.208%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.93%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:35
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -11.16%E -6.56%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +8.65%E +1.88%K +2.40%G +0.208%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.93%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:31
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -11.16%E -6.56%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +8.65%E +1.88%K +2.40%G +0.208%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.93%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:35
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -13.25%E -7.98%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +6.29%E +1.40%K +1.80%G +0.113%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:35
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -13.25%E -7.98%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +6.29%E +1.40%K +1.80%G +0.113%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:35
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -13.25%E -7.98%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +6.29%E +1.40%K +1.80%G +0.113%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:35
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -13.25%E -7.98%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +6.29%E +1.40%K +1.80%G +0.113%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:35
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -13.25%E -7.98%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +6.29%E +1.40%K +1.80%G +0.113%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:35
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -13.25%E -7.98%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +6.29%E +1.40%K +1.80%G +0.113%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:35
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -13.25%E -7.98%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +6.29%E +1.40%K +1.80%G +0.113%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:31
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -13.25%E -7.98%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +6.29%E +1.40%K +1.80%G +0.113%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:31
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -13.77%E -8.35%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV +6.29%E +1.40%K +1.80%G +0.113%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 16:35
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.55%EV -15.34%E -9.47%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV +3.92%E +0.892%K +1.15%G +0.045%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -9.55%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-13 16:35
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -9.07%E -5.21%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -0.799%E -0.190%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 16:24
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -13.77%E -8.35%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -5.93%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-13 16:31
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.65%EV -4.81%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.26%EV -5.20%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 16:56
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:20
BetUS1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:25
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -6.98%E -3.92%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:25
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.12%EV -6.46%E -3.61%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:55
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -8.55%E -4.88%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.93%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 16:40
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.63%EV -9.59%E -5.54%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.75%E -2.91%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 16:24
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.34%EV -7.50%E -4.24%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.28%EV -6.00%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 16:20
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.04%EV -2.27%E -1.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 16:50
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.91%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -4.72%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 16:25
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.93%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 16:44
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.84%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:45
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.84%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:45
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -8.02%E -4.56%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:55
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.52%EV -9.07%E -5.21%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-13 16:40
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -9.59%E -5.54%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -15.58%E -4.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-13 16:25
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.55%E -4.88%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.07%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -9.55%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 16:20
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -8.55%E -4.88%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.55%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-13 16:40
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 52.33%EV -13.25%E -7.98%K -20.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -15.58%E -4.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-13 16:25
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -7.50%E -4.24%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -3.52%E -0.879%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:20
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -9.59%E -5.54%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -9.55%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-13 16:46
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.55%E -4.88%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.58%E -4.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 16:55
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.55%E -4.88%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.58%E -4.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 16:55
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.55%E -4.88%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.58%E -4.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.55%E -4.88%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.58%E -4.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 16:55
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -5.93%E -3.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -13.79%E -3.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -11.96%E -3.28%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-13 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.76%EV -12.73%E -7.62%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.55%EV -14.97%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.69%EV -20.40%E -6.18%K -8.87%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-13 16:25
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 51.57%EV -11.16%E -6.56%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -17.33%E -4.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -9.55%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-13 16:21
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.83%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-05-13 16:56
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.83%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-05-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09%1.3%2026-05-13 16:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09%1.3%2026-05-13 16:50