StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

IFK Norrkoping v IK Brage

2026-08-08 15:00 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Matchresultat

32 spelbolag (7 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

IFK Norrkoping (Hemma)

Prognos 59.34%1.69rättvist odds
EV -5.65%
Fördel -3.55%
Kelly -9.58%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.59

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
57.34%59.49%59.19%62.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.441.521.521.5969.44%65.63%66.01%62.89%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

IK Brage (Borta)

Prognos 19.09%5.24rättvist odds
EV +9.78%
Fördel +1.70%
Kelly +2.06%
Tillväxt +0.201%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.29%18.77%19.28%19.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.505.114.925.7522.22%19.56%20.30%17.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 21.57%4.64rättvist odds
EV -5.10%
Fördel -1.16%
Kelly -1.50%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.17%21.74%21.53%23.08%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.904.244.314.4025.64%23.57%23.17%22.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: IFK Norrkoping (Hemma): 59.34%; IK Brage (Borta): 19.09%; Oavgjort: 21.57%. För IK Brage (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.24. 13 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 5.75, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +9.78%.

Spelbolagsodds (32 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -10.99%E -7.33%K -21.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV +9.78%E +1.70%K +2.06%G +0.201%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -5.10%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 15:09
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -10.99%E -7.33%K -21.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV +9.78%E +1.70%K +2.06%G +0.201%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -5.10%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 15:10
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -10.99%E -7.33%K -21.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV +9.78%E +1.70%K +2.06%G +0.201%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -5.10%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 15:10
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -10.99%E -7.33%K -21.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV +9.78%E +1.70%K +2.06%G +0.201%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -5.10%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 15:09
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.32%EV -12.18%E -8.23%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.47%EV +6.92%E +1.23%K +1.50%G +0.104%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.18%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 15:09
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.32%EV -12.18%E -8.23%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.47%EV +6.92%E +1.23%K +1.50%G +0.104%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.18%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 15:09
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 62.32%EV -12.18%E -8.23%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.47%EV +6.92%E +1.23%K +1.50%G +0.104%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.18%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.32%EV -12.18%E -8.23%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.47%EV +6.92%E +1.23%K +1.50%G +0.104%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.18%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 15:10
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 62.32%EV -12.18%E -8.23%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.47%EV +6.92%E +1.23%K +1.50%G +0.104%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.18%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 15:10
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 62.32%EV -12.18%E -8.23%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.47%EV +6.92%E +1.23%K +1.50%G +0.104%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.18%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 15:09
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 62.32%EV -12.18%E -8.23%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.47%EV +6.92%E +1.23%K +1.50%G +0.104%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.18%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 15:10
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 62.33%EV -12.77%E -8.69%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.36%EV +6.92%E +1.23%K +1.50%G +0.104%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -7.26%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.47%EV -14.55%E -10.10%K -33.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV +5.01%E +0.910%K +1.11%G +0.056%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.17%EV -8.34%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 15:10
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -8.62%E -5.60%K -15.96%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -0.721%E -0.139%K -0.172%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.10%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -9.21%E -6.02%K -17.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -4.54%E -0.908%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -6.61%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 17:29
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.99%E -7.33%K -21.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -4.54%E -0.908%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.41%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-01 16:39
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.21%EV -6.24%E -3.95%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.29%EV -7.40%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -6.18%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 16:19
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.21%EV -6.24%E -3.95%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.29%EV -7.40%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -6.18%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 16:19
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -7.43%E -4.76%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -7.40%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -7.26%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 16:24
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 59.91%EV -12.18%E -8.23%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -8.36%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -11.57%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-01 16:39
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 58.85%EV -5.65%E -3.55%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.54%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -6.61%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 17:20
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.92%EV -6.24%E -3.95%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.43%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -7.26%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:50
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 58.55%EV -6.84%E -4.35%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -10.27%E -2.18%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.41%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 58.55%EV -6.84%E -4.35%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -10.27%E -2.18%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.41%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 16:20
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.55%EV -6.84%E -4.35%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -10.27%E -2.18%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.41%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 21:54
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -9.21%E -6.02%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -12.18%E -2.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.41%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 16:40
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -6.84%E -4.35%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -12.18%E -2.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -15.88%E -4.07%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 17:15
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -6.84%E -4.35%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -12.18%E -2.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -15.88%E -4.07%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 17:14
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -6.84%E -4.35%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -12.18%E -2.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -15.88%E -4.07%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 17:15
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -6.84%E -4.35%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -12.18%E -2.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -15.88%E -4.07%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 17:19
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 58.80%EV -9.21%E -6.02%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.77%EV -13.13%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.41%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 16:20
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.21%EV -10.99%E -7.33%K -21.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.40%EV -14.09%E -3.13%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -15.88%E -4.07%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-01 16:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-01 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-01 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-01 16:35