Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IFK Norrkoping v IK Brage

2026-08-08 15:00 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Frente a frente

32 casas de apostas (7 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IFK Norrkoping (Local)

Previsão 59.34%1.69odd justa
EV -5.65%
Vantagem -3.55%
Kelly -9.58%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.34%59.49%59.19%62.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.441.521.521.5969.44%65.63%66.01%62.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

IK Brage (Visitante)

Previsão 19.09%5.24odd justa
EV +9.78%
Vantagem +1.70%
Kelly +2.06%
Crescimento +0.201%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.29%18.77%19.28%19.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.505.114.925.7522.22%19.56%20.30%17.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.57%4.64odd justa
EV -5.10%
Vantagem -1.16%
Kelly -1.50%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.17%21.74%21.53%23.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.904.244.314.4025.64%23.57%23.17%22.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: IFK Norrkoping (Local): 59.34%; IK Brage (Visitante): 19.09%; Empate: 21.57%. Para IK Brage (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 5.24. 13 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 5.75, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +9.78%.

Odds das casas de apostas (32 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -10.99%E -7.33%K -21.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV +9.78%E +1.70%K +2.06%G +0.201%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -5.10%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 15:09
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -10.99%E -7.33%K -21.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV +9.78%E +1.70%K +2.06%G +0.201%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -5.10%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 15:10
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -10.99%E -7.33%K -21.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV +9.78%E +1.70%K +2.06%G +0.201%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -5.10%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 15:10
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -10.99%E -7.33%K -21.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV +9.78%E +1.70%K +2.06%G +0.201%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -5.10%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 15:09
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.32%EV -12.18%E -8.23%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.47%EV +6.92%E +1.23%K +1.50%G +0.104%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.18%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 15:09
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.32%EV -12.18%E -8.23%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.47%EV +6.92%E +1.23%K +1.50%G +0.104%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.18%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 15:09
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 62.32%EV -12.18%E -8.23%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.47%EV +6.92%E +1.23%K +1.50%G +0.104%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.18%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.32%EV -12.18%E -8.23%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.47%EV +6.92%E +1.23%K +1.50%G +0.104%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.18%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 15:10
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 62.32%EV -12.18%E -8.23%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.47%EV +6.92%E +1.23%K +1.50%G +0.104%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.18%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 15:10
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 62.32%EV -12.18%E -8.23%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.47%EV +6.92%E +1.23%K +1.50%G +0.104%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.18%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 15:09
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 62.32%EV -12.18%E -8.23%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.47%EV +6.92%E +1.23%K +1.50%G +0.104%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.18%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 15:10
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 62.33%EV -12.77%E -8.69%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.36%EV +6.92%E +1.23%K +1.50%G +0.104%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -7.26%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.47%EV -14.55%E -10.10%K -33.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV +5.01%E +0.910%K +1.11%G +0.056%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.17%EV -8.34%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 15:10
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -8.62%E -5.60%K -15.96%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -0.721%E -0.139%K -0.172%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.10%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -9.21%E -6.02%K -17.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -4.54%E -0.908%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -6.61%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 17:29
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.99%E -7.33%K -21.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -4.54%E -0.908%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.41%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-01 16:39
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.21%EV -6.24%E -3.95%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.29%EV -7.40%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -6.18%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 16:19
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.21%EV -6.24%E -3.95%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.29%EV -7.40%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -6.18%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 16:19
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -7.43%E -4.76%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -7.40%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -7.26%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 16:24
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 59.91%EV -12.18%E -8.23%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -8.36%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -11.57%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-01 16:39
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 58.85%EV -5.65%E -3.55%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.54%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -6.61%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 17:20
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.92%EV -6.24%E -3.95%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.43%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -7.26%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:50
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 58.55%EV -6.84%E -4.35%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -10.27%E -2.18%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.41%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 58.55%EV -6.84%E -4.35%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -10.27%E -2.18%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.41%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 16:20
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.55%EV -6.84%E -4.35%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -10.27%E -2.18%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.41%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 21:54
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -9.21%E -6.02%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -12.18%E -2.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.41%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 16:40
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -6.84%E -4.35%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -12.18%E -2.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -15.88%E -4.07%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 17:15
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -6.84%E -4.35%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -12.18%E -2.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -15.88%E -4.07%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 17:14
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -6.84%E -4.35%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -12.18%E -2.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -15.88%E -4.07%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 17:15
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -6.84%E -4.35%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -12.18%E -2.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -15.88%E -4.07%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 17:19
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 58.80%EV -9.21%E -6.02%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.77%EV -13.13%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.41%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 16:20
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.21%EV -10.99%E -7.33%K -21.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.40%EV -14.09%E -3.13%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -15.88%E -4.07%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-01 16:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-01 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-01 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-01 16:35