Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IFK Norrkoping v IK Brage

Início: 2026-08-08 15:00 UTC

Final: IFK Norrkoping 3–0 IK Brage

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IFK Norrkoping (Local)

Previsão 59.81%1.67odd justa
EV -3.70%
Vantagem -2.30%
Kelly -6.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.02%59.70%60.05%61.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.431.531.531.6169.93%65.51%65.36%62.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

IK Brage (Visitante)

Previsão 18.08%5.53odd justa
EV +1.24%
Vantagem +0.222%
Kelly +0.270%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.68%18.16%17.90%20.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.335.095.005.6023.09%19.65%20.00%17.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.11%4.52odd justa
EV -3.84%
Vantagem -0.883%
Kelly -1.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.96%22.15%22.05%23.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.804.114.204.3526.32%24.32%23.81%22.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: IFK Norrkoping (Local): 59.81%; IK Brage (Visitante): 18.08%; Empate: 22.11%. Para IK Brage (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.53. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.60, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.24%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -9.68%E -6.41%K -18.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +1.24%E +0.222%K +0.270%G +0.003%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -3.84%E -0.883%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -9.68%E -6.41%K -18.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +1.24%E +0.222%K +0.270%G +0.003%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -3.84%E -0.883%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 14:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -9.68%E -6.41%K -18.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +1.24%E +0.222%K +0.270%G +0.003%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -3.84%E -0.883%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -9.68%E -6.41%K -18.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +1.24%E +0.222%K +0.270%G +0.003%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -3.84%E -0.883%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.73%EV -4.89%E -3.08%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 16.99%EV +1.06%E +0.190%K +0.231%G +0.002%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.28%EV -9.81%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 14:59
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.60%EV -2.37%E -0.439%K -0.539%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.85%EV -3.84%E -0.883%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 14:09
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -7.88%E -5.12%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -2.37%E -0.439%K -0.539%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 14:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -2.37%E -0.439%K -0.539%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 14:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -2.37%E -0.439%K -0.539%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 14:39
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -2.37%E -0.439%K -0.539%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 14:40
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -11.47%E -7.75%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.11%EV -4.18%E -0.789%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 14:20
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -11.47%E -7.75%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.11%EV -4.18%E -0.789%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -11.47%E -7.75%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.11%EV -4.18%E -0.789%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 14:19
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -11.47%E -7.75%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.11%EV -4.18%E -0.789%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 14:19
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -11.47%E -7.75%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.11%EV -4.18%E -0.789%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 14:20
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -11.47%E -7.75%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.11%EV -4.18%E -0.789%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.45%EV -12.07%E -8.21%K -25.69%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.04%EV -4.18%E -0.789%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 14:49
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -5.09%E -0.969%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 14:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -5.09%E -0.969%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 14:49
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -5.09%E -0.969%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 14:35
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.36%EV -13.27%E -9.15%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -5.09%E -0.969%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 11:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.26%EV -14.46%E -10.12%K -33.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.85%EV -5.99%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-08 14:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.26%EV -14.46%E -10.12%K -33.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.85%EV -5.99%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-08 14:19
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -9.60%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 14:49
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -9.60%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 14:43
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -9.60%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -14.89%E -3.87%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 14:59
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -9.60%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -16.00%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 14:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.03%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -9.60%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 14:49
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -9.60%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -9.60%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -16.00%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 14:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -9.60%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -16.00%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 14:59
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.02%EV -3.70%E -2.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 18.91%EV -10.69%E -2.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -10.47%E -2.59%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 14:46
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.91%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.19%EV -12.32%E -2.54%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.05%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 14:39
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.91%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.19%EV -12.32%E -2.54%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.05%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 14:40
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -13.22%E -2.75%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 14:49
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -13.22%E -2.75%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 14:49
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -13.22%E -2.75%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.00%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 14:34
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -13.22%E -2.75%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.79%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 14:40
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.25%EV -11.47%E -7.75%K -23.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.27%EV -13.22%E -2.75%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -13.79%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-08 14:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -14.12%E -2.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.05%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 14:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.29%EV -7.88%E -5.12%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -14.12%E -2.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.48%EV -6.05%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -7.88%E -5.12%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -14.12%E -2.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -14.12%E -2.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 14:29
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -16.84%E -3.66%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 14:25
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -16.84%E -3.66%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 13:19
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -18.64%E -4.14%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 14:45
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.70%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -21.72%E -5.02%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-08 12:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.03%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%0.5%2026-08-08 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.03%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%0.5%2026-08-08 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.03%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%0.5%2026-08-08 14:50
Matchbook◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.18%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.80%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02%0.9%2026-08-08 14:55