Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IFK Norrkoping v IK Brage

2026-08-08 15:00 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Résultat du match

32 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IFK Norrkoping (Local)

Prévision 59.34%1.69cote équitable
EV -5.65%
Avantage -3.55%
Kelly -9.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.34%59.49%59.19%62.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.521.521.5969.44%65.63%66.01%62.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

IK Brage (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.09%5.24cote équitable
EV +9.78%
Avantage +1.70%
Kelly +2.06%
Croissance +0.201%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.29%18.77%19.28%19.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.114.925.7522.22%19.56%20.30%17.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.57%4.64cote équitable
EV -5.10%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -1.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.17%21.74%21.53%23.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.244.314.4025.64%23.57%23.17%22.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : IFK Norrkoping (Local) : 59.34% ; IK Brage (Visiteur) : 19.09% ; Match nul : 21.57%. Pour IK Brage (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 5.24. 13 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 5.75, pour une espérance positive de +9.78%.

Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -10.99%E -7.33%K -21.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV +9.78%E +1.70%K +2.06%G +0.201%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -5.10%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 15:09
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -10.99%E -7.33%K -21.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV +9.78%E +1.70%K +2.06%G +0.201%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -5.10%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 15:10
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -10.99%E -7.33%K -21.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV +9.78%E +1.70%K +2.06%G +0.201%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -5.10%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 15:10
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -10.99%E -7.33%K -21.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV +9.78%E +1.70%K +2.06%G +0.201%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -5.10%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 15:09
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.32%EV -12.18%E -8.23%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.47%EV +6.92%E +1.23%K +1.50%G +0.104%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.18%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 15:09
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.32%EV -12.18%E -8.23%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.47%EV +6.92%E +1.23%K +1.50%G +0.104%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.18%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 15:09
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 62.32%EV -12.18%E -8.23%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.47%EV +6.92%E +1.23%K +1.50%G +0.104%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.18%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.32%EV -12.18%E -8.23%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.47%EV +6.92%E +1.23%K +1.50%G +0.104%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.18%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 15:10
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 62.32%EV -12.18%E -8.23%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.47%EV +6.92%E +1.23%K +1.50%G +0.104%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.18%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 15:10
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 62.32%EV -12.18%E -8.23%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.47%EV +6.92%E +1.23%K +1.50%G +0.104%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.18%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 15:09
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 62.32%EV -12.18%E -8.23%K -25.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.47%EV +6.92%E +1.23%K +1.50%G +0.104%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.18%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 15:10
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 62.33%EV -12.77%E -8.69%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.36%EV +6.92%E +1.23%K +1.50%G +0.104%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -7.26%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.47%EV -14.55%E -10.10%K -33.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV +5.01%E +0.910%K +1.11%G +0.056%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.17%EV -8.34%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 15:10
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -8.62%E -5.60%K -15.96%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -0.721%E -0.139%K -0.172%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.10%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -9.21%E -6.02%K -17.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -4.54%E -0.908%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -6.61%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 17:29
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.99%E -7.33%K -21.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -4.54%E -0.908%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.41%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-01 16:39
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.21%EV -6.24%E -3.95%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.29%EV -7.40%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -6.18%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 16:19
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.21%EV -6.24%E -3.95%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.29%EV -7.40%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -6.18%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 16:19
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -7.43%E -4.76%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -7.40%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -7.26%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 16:24
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 59.91%EV -12.18%E -8.23%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -8.36%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -11.57%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-01 16:39
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 58.85%EV -5.65%E -3.55%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.54%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -6.61%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 17:20
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.92%EV -6.24%E -3.95%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.43%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -7.26%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:50
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 58.55%EV -6.84%E -4.35%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -10.27%E -2.18%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.41%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 58.55%EV -6.84%E -4.35%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -10.27%E -2.18%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.41%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 16:20
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.55%EV -6.84%E -4.35%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -10.27%E -2.18%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.41%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 21:54
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -9.21%E -6.02%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -12.18%E -2.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.41%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 16:40
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -6.84%E -4.35%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -12.18%E -2.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -15.88%E -4.07%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 17:15
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -6.84%E -4.35%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -12.18%E -2.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -15.88%E -4.07%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 17:14
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -6.84%E -4.35%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -12.18%E -2.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -15.88%E -4.07%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 17:15
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -6.84%E -4.35%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -12.18%E -2.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -15.88%E -4.07%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 17:19
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 58.80%EV -9.21%E -6.02%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.77%EV -13.13%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -9.41%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 16:20
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.21%EV -10.99%E -7.33%K -21.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.40%EV -14.09%E -3.13%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -15.88%E -4.07%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-01 16:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-01 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-01 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-01 16:35