Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IFK Norrkoping v IK Brage

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 15:00 UTC

Score final : IFK Norrkoping 3–0 IK Brage

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IFK Norrkoping (Local)

Prévision 59.81%1.67cote équitable
EV -3.70%
Avantage -2.30%
Kelly -6.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.02%59.70%60.05%61.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.431.531.531.6169.93%65.51%65.36%62.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

IK Brage (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.08%5.53cote équitable
EV +1.24%
Avantage +0.222%
Kelly +0.270%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 5.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.68%18.16%17.90%20.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.335.095.005.6023.09%19.65%20.00%17.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.11%4.52cote équitable
EV -3.84%
Avantage -0.883%
Kelly -1.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.96%22.15%22.05%23.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.114.204.3526.32%24.32%23.81%22.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : IFK Norrkoping (Local) : 59.81% ; IK Brage (Visiteur) : 18.08% ; Match nul : 22.11%. Pour IK Brage (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.53. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.60, soit une espérance positive de +1.24%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -9.68%E -6.41%K -18.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +1.24%E +0.222%K +0.270%G +0.003%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -3.84%E -0.883%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -9.68%E -6.41%K -18.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +1.24%E +0.222%K +0.270%G +0.003%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -3.84%E -0.883%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 14:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -9.68%E -6.41%K -18.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +1.24%E +0.222%K +0.270%G +0.003%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -3.84%E -0.883%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -9.68%E -6.41%K -18.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +1.24%E +0.222%K +0.270%G +0.003%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -3.84%E -0.883%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.73%EV -4.89%E -3.08%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 16.99%EV +1.06%E +0.190%K +0.231%G +0.002%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.28%EV -9.81%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 14:59
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.60%EV -2.37%E -0.439%K -0.539%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.85%EV -3.84%E -0.883%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 14:09
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -7.88%E -5.12%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -2.37%E -0.439%K -0.539%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 14:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -2.37%E -0.439%K -0.539%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 14:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -2.37%E -0.439%K -0.539%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 14:39
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -2.37%E -0.439%K -0.539%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 14:40
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -11.47%E -7.75%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.11%EV -4.18%E -0.789%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 14:20
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -11.47%E -7.75%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.11%EV -4.18%E -0.789%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -11.47%E -7.75%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.11%EV -4.18%E -0.789%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 14:19
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -11.47%E -7.75%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.11%EV -4.18%E -0.789%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 14:19
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -11.47%E -7.75%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.11%EV -4.18%E -0.789%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 14:20
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -11.47%E -7.75%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.11%EV -4.18%E -0.789%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.45%EV -12.07%E -8.21%K -25.69%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.04%EV -4.18%E -0.789%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 14:49
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -5.09%E -0.969%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 14:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -5.09%E -0.969%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 14:49
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -5.09%E -0.969%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 14:35
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.36%EV -13.27%E -9.15%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -5.09%E -0.969%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 11:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.26%EV -14.46%E -10.12%K -33.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.85%EV -5.99%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-08 14:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.26%EV -14.46%E -10.12%K -33.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.85%EV -5.99%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-08 14:19
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -9.60%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 14:49
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -9.60%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 14:43
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -9.60%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -14.89%E -3.87%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 14:59
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -9.60%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -16.00%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 14:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.03%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -9.60%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 14:49
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -9.60%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -9.60%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -16.00%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 14:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -9.60%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -16.00%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 14:59
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.02%EV -3.70%E -2.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 18.91%EV -10.69%E -2.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -10.47%E -2.59%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 14:46
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.91%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.19%EV -12.32%E -2.54%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.05%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 14:39
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.91%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.19%EV -12.32%E -2.54%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.05%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 14:40
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -13.22%E -2.75%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 14:49
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -13.22%E -2.75%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 14:49
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -13.22%E -2.75%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.00%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 14:34
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -13.22%E -2.75%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.79%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 14:40
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.25%EV -11.47%E -7.75%K -23.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.27%EV -13.22%E -2.75%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -13.79%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-08 14:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -14.12%E -2.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.05%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 14:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.29%EV -7.88%E -5.12%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -14.12%E -2.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.48%EV -6.05%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -7.88%E -5.12%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -14.12%E -2.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -14.12%E -2.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 14:29
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -16.84%E -3.66%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 14:25
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -16.84%E -3.66%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 13:19
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -18.64%E -4.14%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 14:45
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.70%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -21.72%E -5.02%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-08 12:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.03%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%0.5%2026-08-08 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.03%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%0.5%2026-08-08 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.03%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%0.5%2026-08-08 14:50
Matchbook◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.18%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.80%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02%0.9%2026-08-08 14:55