Idioma:Español
IFK Norrkoping v IK Brage
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
IFK Norrkoping (Local)
Predicción 59.81%1.67momio equitativo
EV -3.70%
Ventaja -2.30%
Kelly -6.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.02%59.70%60.05%61.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.431.531.531.6169.93%65.51%65.36%62.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
IK Brage (Visitante)
Predicción 18.08%5.53momio equitativo
EV +1.24%
Ventaja +0.222%
Kelly +0.270%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.68%18.16%17.90%20.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.335.095.005.6023.09%19.65%20.00%17.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.11%4.52momio equitativo
EV -3.84%
Ventaja -0.883%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.96%22.15%22.05%23.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.804.114.204.3526.32%24.32%23.81%22.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: IFK Norrkoping (Local): 59.81%; IK Brage (Visitante): 18.08%; Empate: 22.11%. Para IK Brage (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.53. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.24%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -9.68%E -6.41%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +1.24%E +0.222%K +0.270%G +0.003% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -3.84%E -0.883%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -9.68%E -6.41%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +1.24%E +0.222%K +0.270%G +0.003% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -3.84%E -0.883%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -9.68%E -6.41%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +1.24%E +0.222%K +0.270%G +0.003% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -3.84%E -0.883%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -9.68%E -6.41%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +1.24%E +0.222%K +0.270%G +0.003% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -3.84%E -0.883%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.73%EV -4.89%E -3.08%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.59I 17.89%NM 16.99%EV +1.06%E +0.190%K +0.231%G +0.002% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.28%EV -9.81%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 14:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.60%EV -2.37%E -0.439%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.85%EV -3.84%E -0.883%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 14:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -7.88%E -5.12%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -2.37%E -0.439%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 14:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -2.37%E -0.439%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 14:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -2.37%E -0.439%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 14:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -2.37%E -0.439%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 14:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -11.47%E -7.75%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.11%EV -4.18%E -0.789%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -11.47%E -7.75%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.11%EV -4.18%E -0.789%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -11.47%E -7.75%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.11%EV -4.18%E -0.789%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -11.47%E -7.75%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.11%EV -4.18%E -0.789%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -11.47%E -7.75%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.11%EV -4.18%E -0.789%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -11.47%E -7.75%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.11%EV -4.18%E -0.789%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.45%EV -12.07%E -8.21%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.04%EV -4.18%E -0.789%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 14:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -5.09%E -0.969%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 14:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -5.09%E -0.969%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 14:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -5.09%E -0.969%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 14:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.36%EV -13.27%E -9.15%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -5.09%E -0.969%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 11:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.26%EV -14.46%E -10.12%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.85%EV -5.99%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.26%EV -14.46%E -10.12%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.85%EV -5.99%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -9.60%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 14:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -9.60%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 14:43 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -9.60%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -14.89%E -3.87%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 14:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -9.60%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -16.00%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-08 14:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.03%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -9.60%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 14:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -9.60%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-08 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -9.60%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -16.00%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-08 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -9.60%E -1.92%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -16.00%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-08 14:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.02%EV -3.70%E -2.30%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.94I 20.24%NM 18.91%EV -10.69%E -2.16%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -10.47%E -2.59%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 14:46 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.91%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.19%EV -12.32%E -2.54%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.05%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 14:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.91%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.19%EV -12.32%E -2.54%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.05%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 14:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -13.22%E -2.75%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 14:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.09%E -3.88%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -13.22%E -2.75%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 14:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -13.22%E -2.75%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.00%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 14:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -13.22%E -2.75%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.79%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 14:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.25%EV -11.47%E -7.75%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.27%EV -13.22%E -2.75%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -13.79%E -3.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-08 14:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.67%EV -5.49%E -3.48%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -14.12%E -2.97%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.05%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.29%EV -7.88%E -5.12%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -14.12%E -2.97%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.48%EV -6.05%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -7.88%E -5.12%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -14.12%E -2.97%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 13:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -14.12%E -2.97%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 14:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -16.84%E -3.66%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -16.84%E -3.66%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-08 13:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -8.48%E -5.54%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -18.64%E -4.14%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-08 14:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.70%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -21.72%E -5.02%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-08 12:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.03% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.03% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.03% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.18% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.80% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 14:55 |