Language:English
IFK Norrkoping v IFK Värnamo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IFK Norrkoping (Local)
Prediction 44.56%2.24fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.24%44.63%44.53%48.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.052.052.1854.05%48.68%48.78%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IFK Värnamo (Visit)
Prediction 29.91%3.34fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.393%
Kelly -0.563%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.38%29.90%29.93%31.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.053.103.3036.36%32.84%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.53%3.92fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -0.644%
Kelly -0.873%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.78%25.47%25.53%28.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.513.503.8233.33%28.48%28.57%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IFK Norrkoping (Local): 44.56%; IFK Värnamo (Visit): 29.91%; Draw: 25.53%. For IFK Värnamo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -1.30%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.79%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.30%EV -10.87%E -3.65%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 10:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.79%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.30%EV -10.87%E -3.65%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 10:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.33%EV -4.20%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.33%EV -4.20%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.33%EV -4.20%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 10:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -4.20%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -13.86%E -4.81%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 10:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.54%EV -4.65%E -2.17%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.97%EV -4.89%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.49%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 10:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 10:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 10:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 10:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -13.86%E -4.81%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.74%E -4.77%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.74%E -4.77%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.74%E -4.77%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.74%E -4.77%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -16.25%E -5.80%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -16.25%E -5.80%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.35%EV -6.88%E -3.29%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 10:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -7.32%E -3.52%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -9.36%E -2.64%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 10:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -8.21%E -3.99%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.47%EV -2.46%E -0.644%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 10:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.80%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 10:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 10:28 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 10:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 10:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -9.11%E -4.46%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 10:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -10.00%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -9.36%E -2.64%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 10:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -10.00%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -10.00%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -10.00%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -10.00%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -10.00%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -10.00%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.08%EV -10.89%E -5.44%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.35%EV -6.08%E -1.94%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.89%E -5.44%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 10:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.19%EV -10.89%E -5.44%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.41%EV -17.75%E -6.45%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-04 10:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -10.89%E -5.44%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -13.86%E -4.81%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -23.40%E -7.80%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-04-04 10:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.02%EV -11.78%E -5.95%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.76%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.02%EV -11.78%E -5.95%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.76%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.15%EV -12.22%E -6.21%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.02%EV -13.12%E -6.73%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -14.46%E -4.32%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.05%EV -13.12%E -6.73%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 29.93%EV -14.16%E -4.93%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -15.74%E -4.77%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-04 10:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.14%EV -13.56%E -6.99%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.71%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -14.46%E -4.32%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -17.57%E -9.50%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -1.30%E -0.393%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -2.97%E -0.782%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.03% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.03% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.11% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54% | 1.7% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 54.82% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 28.37% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 16.80% | 54.6% | 2026-04-04 10:30 |