La escuela de los momios

IFK Norrkoping v IFK Värnamo

Inicio: 2026-04-04 10:32 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IFK Norrkoping (Local)

Predicción 44.56%2.24momio equitativo
EV -2.87%
Ventaja -1.32%
Kelly -2.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.24%44.63%44.53%48.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.052.052.1854.05%48.68%48.78%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IFK Värnamo (Visitante)

Predicción 29.91%3.34momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.393%
Kelly -0.563%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.38%29.90%29.93%31.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.053.103.3036.36%32.84%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.53%3.92momio equitativo
EV -2.46%
Ventaja -0.644%
Kelly -0.873%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.78%25.47%25.53%28.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.513.503.8233.33%28.48%28.57%26.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.79%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.30%EV -10.87%E -3.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 10:29
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.79%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.30%EV -10.87%E -3.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 10:29
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.33%EV -4.20%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 10:30
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.33%EV -4.20%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 10:30
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 44.33%EV -4.20%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 10:29
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -4.20%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -13.86%E -4.81%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 10:29
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 44.54%EV -4.65%E -2.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.97%EV -4.89%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.49%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 10:29
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 10:29
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 10:29
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 10:29
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -13.86%E -4.81%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-04 10:30
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.74%E -4.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-04 10:30
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.74%E -4.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-04 10:30
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.74%E -4.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-04 10:30
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.74%E -4.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-04 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -16.25%E -5.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 10:30
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -16.25%E -5.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 10:30
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.35%EV -6.88%E -3.29%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 10:29
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -7.32%E -3.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -9.36%E -2.64%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 10:29
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -8.21%E -3.99%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.47%EV -2.46%E -0.644%K -0.873%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 10:29
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 10:30
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.80%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 10:29
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 10:28
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 10:29
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 10:29
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -9.11%E -4.46%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 10:29
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -10.00%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -9.36%E -2.64%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 10:25
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -10.00%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 10:30
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -10.00%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 10:30
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -10.00%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 10:30
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -10.00%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 10:30
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -10.00%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 10:30
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -10.00%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 10:30
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.08%EV -10.89%E -5.44%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.35%EV -6.08%E -1.94%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 10:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.89%E -5.44%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 10:29
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.19%EV -10.89%E -5.44%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.41%EV -17.75%E -6.45%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-04 10:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -10.89%E -5.44%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -13.86%E -4.81%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -23.40%E -7.80%K -11.70%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-04 10:29
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.02%EV -11.78%E -5.95%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.76%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 10:30
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.02%EV -11.78%E -5.95%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.76%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 10:30
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 45.15%EV -12.22%E -6.21%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-04 10:30
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 45.02%EV -13.12%E -6.73%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -14.46%E -4.32%K -6.15%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-04 10:30
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.05%EV -13.12%E -6.73%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 29.93%EV -14.16%E -4.93%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -15.74%E -4.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-04 10:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.14%EV -13.56%E -6.99%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.71%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -14.46%E -4.32%K -6.15%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-04 10:30
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -17.57%E -9.50%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -1.30%E -0.393%K -0.563%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -2.97%E -0.782%K -1.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 10:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.03%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%0.9%2026-04-04 10:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.03%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%0.9%2026-04-04 10:30
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.11%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%1.7%2026-04-04 10:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 54.82%2.28I 43.86%NM 28.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 16.80%54.6%2026-04-04 10:30