L’École des cotes

IFK Norrkoping v IFK Värnamo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 10:32 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IFK Norrkoping (Local)

Prévision 44.56%2.24cote équitable
EV -2.87%
Avantage -1.32%
Kelly -2.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.24%44.63%44.53%48.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.052.052.1854.05%48.68%48.78%45.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IFK Värnamo (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.91%3.34cote équitable
EV -1.30%
Avantage -0.393%
Kelly -0.563%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.38%29.90%29.93%31.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.053.103.3036.36%32.84%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.53%3.92cote équitable
EV -2.46%
Avantage -0.644%
Kelly -0.873%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.78%25.47%25.53%28.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.513.503.8233.33%28.48%28.57%26.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.79%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.30%EV -10.87%E -3.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 10:29
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.79%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.30%EV -10.87%E -3.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 10:29
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.33%EV -4.20%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 10:30
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.33%EV -4.20%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 10:30
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 44.33%EV -4.20%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 10:29
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -4.20%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -13.86%E -4.81%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 10:29
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 44.54%EV -4.65%E -2.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.97%EV -4.89%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.49%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 10:29
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 10:29
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 10:29
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 10:29
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -13.86%E -4.81%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-04 10:30
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.74%E -4.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-04 10:30
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.74%E -4.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-04 10:30
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.74%E -4.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-04 10:30
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.74%E -4.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-04 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -16.25%E -5.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 10:30
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -16.25%E -5.80%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 10:30
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.35%EV -6.88%E -3.29%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 10:29
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -7.32%E -3.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -9.36%E -2.64%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 10:29
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -8.21%E -3.99%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.47%EV -2.46%E -0.644%K -0.873%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 10:29
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 10:30
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.80%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 10:29
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 10:28
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 10:29
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 10:29
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -9.11%E -4.46%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 10:29
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -10.00%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -9.36%E -2.64%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 10:25
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -10.00%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 10:30
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -10.00%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 10:30
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -10.00%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 10:30
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -10.00%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 10:30
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -10.00%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 10:30
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -10.00%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.91%E -3.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 10:30
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.08%EV -10.89%E -5.44%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.35%EV -6.08%E -1.94%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 10:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.89%E -5.44%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 10:29
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.19%EV -10.89%E -5.44%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.41%EV -17.75%E -6.45%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-04 10:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -10.89%E -5.44%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -13.86%E -4.81%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -23.40%E -7.80%K -11.70%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-04 10:29
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.02%EV -11.78%E -5.95%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.76%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 10:30
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.02%EV -11.78%E -5.95%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.76%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 10:30
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 45.15%EV -12.22%E -6.21%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-04 10:30
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 45.02%EV -13.12%E -6.73%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -14.46%E -4.32%K -6.15%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-04 10:30
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.05%EV -13.12%E -6.73%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 29.93%EV -14.16%E -4.93%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -15.74%E -4.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-04 10:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.14%EV -13.56%E -6.99%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.71%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -14.46%E -4.32%K -6.15%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-04 10:30
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -17.57%E -9.50%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -1.30%E -0.393%K -0.563%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -2.97%E -0.782%K -1.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 10:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.03%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%0.9%2026-04-04 10:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.03%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%0.9%2026-04-04 10:30
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.11%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%1.7%2026-04-04 10:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 54.82%2.28I 43.86%NM 28.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 16.80%54.6%2026-04-04 10:30