Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IFK Norrkoping v Falkenbergs FF

2026-08-24 17:05 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IFK Norrkoping (Local)

Prediction 59.51%1.68fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -3.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.70%59.36%59.42%60.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.561.551.6469.44%64.21%64.52%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Falkenbergs FF (Visit)

Prediction 18.59%5.38fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -0.638%
Kelly -0.790%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.48%18.63%18.69%20.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.704.805.2023.26%21.26%20.83%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.90%4.57fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -0.831%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.26%22.01%21.89%22.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.084.004.4026.32%24.49%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: IFK Norrkoping (Local): 59.51%; Falkenbergs FF (Visit): 18.59%; Draw: 21.90%. For IFK Norrkoping (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.64, with an expected value of -2.40%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.64%EV -2.40%E -1.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -12.61%E -2.68%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 17:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.64%EV -2.40%E -1.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -12.61%E -2.68%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 17:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -16.33%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.23%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-17 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -16.33%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.23%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-17 17:24
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -4.78%E -2.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -18.19%E -4.13%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -12.42%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-17 17:24
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -4.78%E -2.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -18.19%E -4.13%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -12.42%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-17 17:25
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -4.78%E -2.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -18.19%E -4.13%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -12.42%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-17 17:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -4.78%E -2.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -18.19%E -4.13%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -12.42%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-17 17:24
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -4.78%E -2.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -18.19%E -4.13%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -12.42%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-17 17:24
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -4.78%E -2.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -18.19%E -4.13%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -12.42%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-17 17:24
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -5.97%E -3.78%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.06%EV -9.08%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-17 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.45%EV -7.16%E -4.59%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -7.97%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 18:55
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.26%EV -7.16%E -4.59%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 18.79%EV -8.52%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 21.96%EV -7.82%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-17 18:59
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.03%EV -7.16%E -4.59%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.45%EV -19.12%E -4.40%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.52%EV -13.51%E -3.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-17 17:24
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -5.18%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-17 18:20
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -5.18%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-17 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -8.90%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.04%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-17 18:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -8.90%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.04%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-17 18:45
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -8.35%E -5.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -3.32%E -0.638%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -3.66%E -0.831%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 18:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.04%EV -8.35%E -5.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.43%EV -20.05%E -4.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.53%EV -14.60%E -3.74%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-17 17:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.04%EV -8.35%E -5.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.43%EV -20.05%E -4.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.53%EV -14.60%E -3.74%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-17 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -5.19%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-17 18:45
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -10.75%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.42%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-17 18:54
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -10.75%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.60%E -3.74%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-17 19:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -10.75%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.60%E -3.74%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-17 19:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -10.75%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.60%E -3.74%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-17 19:14
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -14.47%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.42%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-17 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.73%E -7.16%K -21.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.04%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-17 18:25
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.87%EV -10.73%E -7.16%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -16.33%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.84%EV -16.79%E -4.42%K -6.00%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-17 18:24
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.91%EV -11.92%E -8.06%K -24.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -10.75%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -10.23%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-17 18:19
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -14.30%E -9.93%K -32.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -12.42%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-17 19:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-17 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-17 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-17 18:25

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