Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IFK Norrkoping v Falkenbergs FF

Início: 2026-08-24 17:05 UTC

Final: IFK Norrkoping 2–1 Falkenbergs FF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IFK Norrkoping (Local)

Previsão 60.79%1.64odd justa
EV -3.34%
Vantagem -2.10%
Kelly -5.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.78%60.64%60.78%62.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.441.521.521.5969.44%65.77%65.57%62.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Falkenbergs FF (Visitante)

Previsão 17.29%5.79odd justa
EV +1.29%
Vantagem +0.221%
Kelly +0.266%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.07%17.36%17.44%19.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.605.125.005.8621.74%19.55%20.00%17.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.92%4.56odd justa
EV -2.45%
Vantagem -0.551%
Kelly -0.711%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.83%22.00%21.78%23.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.804.134.124.4526.32%24.23%24.30%22.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: IFK Norrkoping (Local): 60.79%; Falkenbergs FF (Visitante): 17.29%; Empate: 21.92%. Para Falkenbergs FF (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.79. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.86, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.29%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.19%EV +1.29%E +0.221%K +0.266%G +0.003%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.98%EV -9.47%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -8.20%E -5.43%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV +0.256%E +0.044%K +0.053%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 17:04
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.50%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.47%EV -0.608%E -0.106%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -5.74%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-24 17:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.98%EV -7.59%E -5.00%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.41%EV -2.34%E -0.414%K -0.502%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.13%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 16:59
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.28%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -3.20%E -0.572%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.13%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -3.20%E -0.572%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -10.13%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-24 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -3.20%E -0.572%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -10.13%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-24 16:53
BetAnything🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -3.20%E -0.572%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -10.13%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-24 16:55
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -4.93%E -0.896%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -3.55%E -0.807%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-24 16:54
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -4.93%E -0.896%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -3.55%E -0.807%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-24 16:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.16%EV -11.85%E -8.17%K -26.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -4.93%E -0.896%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 16:39
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.59%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.03%EV -5.28%E -0.963%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.38%EV -8.59%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 17:04
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -7.59%E -5.00%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -8.39%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -6.84%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-24 11:49
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -7.59%E -5.00%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -8.39%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -6.84%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-24 11:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -9.25%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.49%EV -4.65%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-24 11:49
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -9.25%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 16:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -9.25%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -6.84%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -9.25%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -10.13%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 16:49
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -7.59%E -5.00%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -9.25%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -15.61%E -4.05%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-24 16:49
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.06%EV -11.24%E -7.70%K -24.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.86%EV -10.12%E -1.95%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -16.70%E -4.40%K -5.96%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-24 17:04
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.91%EV -3.34%E -2.10%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.68%EV -11.84%E -2.32%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.41%EV -2.45%E -0.551%K -0.711%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-24 16:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -3.55%E -0.807%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-24 16:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -3.55%E -0.807%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-24 16:19
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 16:24
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -10.13%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-24 16:58
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-24 17:04
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-24 16:49
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-24 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-24 16:54
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.51%E -3.72%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-24 16:49
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -16.70%E -4.40%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-24 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -16.70%E -4.40%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-24 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -16.70%E -4.40%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-24 16:54
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -16.70%E -4.40%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-24 16:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.40%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -17.03%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -5.74%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 16:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.40%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -17.03%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -5.74%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 16:19
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -17.03%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-24 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -17.03%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-24 16:25
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -12.46%E -8.65%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -17.89%E -3.77%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-24 16:59
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -18.76%E -3.99%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 16:19
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -18.76%E -3.99%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 16:19
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -18.76%E -3.99%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 16:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -18.76%E -3.99%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 16:19
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -18.76%E -3.99%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 16:19
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -18.76%E -3.99%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 16:19
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.10%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -20.49%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -10.13%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-24 16:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.43%EV -10.03%E -6.77%K -20.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -20.49%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -10.13%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-24 16:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.43%EV -10.03%E -6.77%K -20.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -20.49%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -10.13%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-24 16:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03%0.9%2026-08-24 16:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03%0.9%2026-08-24 16:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03%0.9%2026-08-24 16:55
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03%0.9%2026-08-24 16:59