Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IFK Norrkoping v Falkenbergs FF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-24 17:05 UTC

Score final : IFK Norrkoping 2–1 Falkenbergs FF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IFK Norrkoping (Local)

Prévision 60.79%1.64cote équitable
EV -3.34%
Avantage -2.10%
Kelly -5.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.78%60.64%60.78%62.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.521.521.5969.44%65.77%65.57%62.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Falkenbergs FF (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.29%5.79cote équitable
EV +1.29%
Avantage +0.221%
Kelly +0.266%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 5.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.07%17.36%17.44%19.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.125.005.8621.74%19.55%20.00%17.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.92%4.56cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -0.551%
Kelly -0.711%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.83%22.00%21.78%23.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.134.124.4526.32%24.23%24.30%22.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : IFK Norrkoping (Local) : 60.79% ; Falkenbergs FF (Visiteur) : 17.29% ; Match nul : 21.92%. Pour Falkenbergs FF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.79. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.86, soit une espérance positive de +1.29%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.19%EV +1.29%E +0.221%K +0.266%G +0.003%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.98%EV -9.47%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -8.20%E -5.43%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV +0.256%E +0.044%K +0.053%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 17:04
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.50%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.47%EV -0.608%E -0.106%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -5.74%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-24 17:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.98%EV -7.59%E -5.00%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.41%EV -2.34%E -0.414%K -0.502%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.13%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 16:59
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.28%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -3.20%E -0.572%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.13%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -3.20%E -0.572%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -10.13%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-24 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -3.20%E -0.572%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -10.13%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-24 16:53
BetAnything🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -3.20%E -0.572%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -10.13%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-24 16:55
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -4.93%E -0.896%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -3.55%E -0.807%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-24 16:54
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -4.93%E -0.896%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -3.55%E -0.807%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-24 16:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.16%EV -11.85%E -8.17%K -26.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -4.93%E -0.896%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 16:39
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.59%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.03%EV -5.28%E -0.963%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.38%EV -8.59%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 17:04
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -7.59%E -5.00%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -8.39%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -6.84%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-24 11:49
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -7.59%E -5.00%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -8.39%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -6.84%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-24 11:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -9.25%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.49%EV -4.65%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-24 11:49
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -9.25%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 16:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -9.25%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -6.84%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -9.25%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -10.13%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 16:49
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -7.59%E -5.00%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -9.25%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -15.61%E -4.05%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-24 16:49
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.06%EV -11.24%E -7.70%K -24.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.86%EV -10.12%E -1.95%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -16.70%E -4.40%K -5.96%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-24 17:04
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.91%EV -3.34%E -2.10%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.68%EV -11.84%E -2.32%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.41%EV -2.45%E -0.551%K -0.711%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-24 16:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -3.55%E -0.807%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-24 16:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -3.55%E -0.807%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-24 16:19
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 16:24
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -10.13%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-24 16:58
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-24 17:04
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-24 16:49
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-24 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-24 16:54
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.51%E -3.72%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-24 16:49
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -16.70%E -4.40%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-24 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -16.70%E -4.40%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-24 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -16.70%E -4.40%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-24 16:54
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -16.70%E -4.40%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-24 16:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.40%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -17.03%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -5.74%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 16:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.40%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -17.03%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -5.74%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 16:19
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -17.03%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-24 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -17.03%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-24 16:25
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -12.46%E -8.65%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -17.89%E -3.77%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-24 16:59
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -18.76%E -3.99%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 16:19
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -18.76%E -3.99%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 16:19
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -18.76%E -3.99%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 16:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -18.76%E -3.99%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 16:19
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -18.76%E -3.99%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 16:19
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -18.76%E -3.99%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 16:19
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.10%EV -8.81%E -5.87%K -17.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -20.49%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -10.13%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-24 16:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.43%EV -10.03%E -6.77%K -20.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -20.49%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -10.13%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-24 16:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.43%EV -10.03%E -6.77%K -20.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -20.49%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -10.13%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-24 16:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03%0.9%2026-08-24 16:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03%0.9%2026-08-24 16:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03%0.9%2026-08-24 16:55
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03%0.9%2026-08-24 16:59