Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Helsingborgs IF v Varbergs BoIS

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 17:00 UTC

Final: Helsingborgs IF 1–3 Varbergs BoIS

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Helsingborgs IF (Local)

Prediction 27.28%3.67fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.497%
Kelly -0.688%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.10%27.40%27.34%30.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.303.303.6033.33%30.34%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Varbergs BoIS (Visit)

Prediction 44.79%2.23fair odd
EV +0.787%
Edge +0.350%
Kelly +0.629%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.70%44.72%44.80%48.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.082.052.2553.48%48.04%48.78%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.93%3.58fair odd
EV -5.05%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.58%27.89%27.86%29.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.263.253.4034.72%30.68%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Helsingborgs IF (Local): 27.28%; Varbergs BoIS (Visit): 44.79%; Draw: 27.93%. For Varbergs BoIS (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.787%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -15.43%E -4.98%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +0.787%E +0.350%K +0.629%G +0.005%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -15.43%E -4.98%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +0.787%E +0.350%K +0.629%G +0.005%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -15.43%E -4.98%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +0.787%E +0.350%K +0.629%G +0.005%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -15.43%E -4.98%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +0.787%E +0.350%K +0.629%G +0.005%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 16:50
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -0.109%E -0.049%K -0.089%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:29
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -16.79%E -5.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -1.45%E -0.660%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 16:50
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -16.79%E -5.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -1.45%E -0.660%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 16:50
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -16.79%E -5.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -1.45%E -0.660%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 16:41
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -16.79%E -5.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -1.45%E -0.660%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 16:50
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -16.79%E -5.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -1.45%E -0.660%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 16:50
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -16.79%E -5.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -1.45%E -0.660%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 16:50
Pinnacle🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 27.56%EV -5.61%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.15%EV -3.24%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV -5.89%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 16:41
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.06%EV -18.16%E -6.05%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.75%EV -3.24%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-19 16:50
DraftKings🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.88%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -5.93%E -2.82%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 16:47
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.93%E -2.82%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.85%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.93%E -2.82%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.85%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 16:40
NordicBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -6.83%E -3.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 16:50
Betsson🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -6.83%E -3.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -6.83%E -3.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 16:50
1xBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.88%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.97%EV -7.28%E -3.52%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.04%EV -7.29%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 16:51
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.28%E -3.52%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.28%E -3.52%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 16:51
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.28%E -3.52%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 16:51
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 16:50
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.85%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 16:49
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 16:51
Bovada🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-19 16:39
BetUS🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-19 16:41
BetAnything🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-19 16:40
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-19 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-19 16:40
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.43%E -4.33%K -6.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-19 16:51
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.43%E -4.33%K -6.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-19 16:51
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.43%E -4.33%K -6.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-19 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.43%E -4.33%K -6.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-19 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -3.15%E -0.888%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -8.62%E -4.23%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -3.15%E -0.888%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -8.62%E -4.23%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 16:51
Marathon Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.63%EV -9.07%E -4.47%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -7.29%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 16:50
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.41%E -5.21%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-19 16:50
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.41%E -5.21%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-19 16:50
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.41%E -5.21%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-19 16:51
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.41%E -5.21%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-19 16:51
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.41%E -5.21%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.43%E -4.33%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-19 16:50
Everygame🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -5.88%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -12.65%E -6.49%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-19 16:50
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -12.65%E -6.49%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.84%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-19 16:50
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -12.65%E -6.49%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -13.43%E -4.33%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-19 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -14.44%E -7.56%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -19.58%E -6.80%K -10.41%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-19 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -1.79%E -0.497%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -16.24%E -8.68%K -18.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-19 16:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-05-19 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.95%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-05-19 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.95%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-05-19 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.79%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68%1.8%2026-05-19 16:50