L’École des cotes

Helsingborgs IF v Varbergs BoIS

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-19 17:00 UTC

Score final : Helsingborgs IF 1–3 Varbergs BoIS

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Helsingborgs IF (Local)

Prévision 27.28%3.67cote équitable
EV -1.79%
Avantage -0.497%
Kelly -0.688%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.10%27.40%27.34%30.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.303.303.6033.33%30.34%30.30%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Varbergs BoIS (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.79%2.23cote équitable
EV +0.787%
Avantage +0.350%
Kelly +0.629%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.70%44.72%44.80%48.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.872.082.052.2553.48%48.04%48.78%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.93%3.58cote équitable
EV -5.05%
Avantage -1.49%
Kelly -2.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.58%27.89%27.86%29.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.263.253.4034.72%30.68%30.77%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -15.43%E -4.98%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +0.787%E +0.350%K +0.629%G +0.005%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -15.43%E -4.98%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +0.787%E +0.350%K +0.629%G +0.005%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 16:50
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -15.43%E -4.98%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +0.787%E +0.350%K +0.629%G +0.005%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 16:50
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -15.43%E -4.98%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +0.787%E +0.350%K +0.629%G +0.005%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 16:50
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -0.109%E -0.049%K -0.089%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:29
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -16.79%E -5.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -1.45%E -0.660%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 16:50
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -16.79%E -5.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -1.45%E -0.660%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 16:50
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -16.79%E -5.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -1.45%E -0.660%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 16:41
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -16.79%E -5.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -1.45%E -0.660%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 16:50
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -16.79%E -5.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -1.45%E -0.660%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 16:50
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -16.79%E -5.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -1.45%E -0.660%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 16:50
Pinnacle3.46I 28.90%NM 27.56%EV -5.61%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.15%EV -3.24%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV -5.89%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 16:41
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.06%EV -18.16%E -6.05%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.75%EV -3.24%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-19 16:50
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.88%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -5.93%E -2.82%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 16:47
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.93%E -2.82%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.85%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 16:40
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.93%E -2.82%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.85%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 16:40
NordicBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -6.83%E -3.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 16:50
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -6.83%E -3.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 16:50
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -6.83%E -3.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 16:50
1xBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.88%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.97%EV -7.28%E -3.52%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.04%EV -7.29%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 16:51
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.28%E -3.52%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 16:50
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.28%E -3.52%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 16:51
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.28%E -3.52%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 16:51
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 16:50
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.85%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 16:49
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 16:51
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-19 16:39
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-19 16:41
BetAnything3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-19 16:40
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-19 16:40
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-19 16:40
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.43%E -4.33%K -6.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-19 16:51
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.43%E -4.33%K -6.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-19 16:51
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.43%E -4.33%K -6.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-19 16:50
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.43%E -4.33%K -6.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-19 16:50
BetOnline.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -3.15%E -0.888%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -8.62%E -4.23%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 16:50
LowVig.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -3.15%E -0.888%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -8.62%E -4.23%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 16:51
Marathon Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.63%EV -9.07%E -4.47%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -7.29%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 16:50
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.41%E -5.21%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-19 16:50
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.41%E -5.21%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-19 16:50
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.41%E -5.21%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-19 16:51
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.41%E -5.21%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-19 16:51
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.41%E -5.21%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.43%E -4.33%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-19 16:50
Everygame3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -5.88%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -12.65%E -6.49%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-19 16:50
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -12.65%E -6.49%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.84%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-19 16:50
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -12.65%E -6.49%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -13.43%E -4.33%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-19 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -14.44%E -7.56%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -19.58%E -6.80%K -10.41%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-19 16:30
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -1.79%E -0.497%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -16.24%E -8.68%K -18.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-19 16:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-05-19 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.95%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-05-19 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.95%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-05-19 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.79%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68%1.8%2026-05-19 16:50