La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Helsingborgs IF v Varbergs BoIS
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Helsingborgs IF (Local)
Predicción 27.28%3.67momio equitativo
EV -1.79%
Ventaja -0.497%
Kelly -0.688%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.10%27.40%27.34%30.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.303.303.6033.33%30.34%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Varbergs BoIS (Visitante)
Predicción 44.79%2.23momio equitativo
EV +0.787%
Ventaja +0.350%
Kelly +0.629%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.70%44.72%44.80%48.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.872.082.052.2553.48%48.04%48.78%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.93%3.58momio equitativo
EV -5.05%
Ventaja -1.49%
Kelly -2.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.58%27.89%27.86%29.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.263.253.4034.72%30.68%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -15.43%E -4.98%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +0.787%E +0.350%K +0.629%G +0.005% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -15.43%E -4.98%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +0.787%E +0.350%K +0.629%G +0.005% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -15.43%E -4.98%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +0.787%E +0.350%K +0.629%G +0.005% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -15.43%E -4.98%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +0.787%E +0.350%K +0.629%G +0.005% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| Coolbet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -0.109%E -0.049%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 16:29 |
| Casumo | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -16.79%E -5.51%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -1.45%E -0.660%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| LeoVegas | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -16.79%E -5.51%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -1.45%E -0.660%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| TABtouch | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -16.79%E -5.51%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -1.45%E -0.660%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-19 16:41 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -16.79%E -5.51%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -1.45%E -0.660%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| BetRivers | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -16.79%E -5.51%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -1.45%E -0.660%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| betPARX | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -16.79%E -5.51%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -1.45%E -0.660%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| Pinnacle | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.56%EV -5.61%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.15%EV -3.24%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV -5.89%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-19 16:41 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.06%EV -18.16%E -6.05%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.75%EV -3.24%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| DraftKings | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.88%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -5.93%E -2.82%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 16:47 |
| Bet Victor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.93%E -2.82%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.85%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.93%E -2.82%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.85%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-19 16:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -6.83%E -3.28%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| Betsson | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -6.83%E -3.28%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -6.83%E -3.28%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -6.45%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| 1xBet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.88%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.97%EV -7.28%E -3.52%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.04%EV -7.29%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-19 16:51 |
| Unibet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.28%E -3.52%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.28%E -3.52%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-19 16:51 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.28%E -3.52%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-19 16:51 |
| Betway | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| FanDuel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.85%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-19 16:49 |
| BetMGM | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-19 16:51 |
| Bovada | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-19 16:39 |
| BetUS | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-19 16:41 |
| BetAnything | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-19 16:40 |
| betfred_uk | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-19 16:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-19 16:40 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.43%E -4.33%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-19 16:51 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.43%E -4.33%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-19 16:51 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.43%E -4.33%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.43%E -4.33%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -3.15%E -0.888%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -8.62%E -4.23%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -3.15%E -0.888%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -8.62%E -4.23%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 16:51 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.63%EV -9.07%E -4.47%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -7.29%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.41%E -5.21%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| PlayUp | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.41%E -5.21%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.41%E -5.21%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-19 16:51 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.41%E -5.21%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-19 16:51 |
| Sky Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.41%E -5.21%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.43%E -4.33%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| Everygame | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -5.88%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -12.65%E -6.49%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| BoyleSports | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -12.65%E -6.49%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| SportsBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -12.65%E -6.49%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -13.43%E -4.33%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -14.44%E -7.56%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -19.58%E -6.80%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-05-19 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -1.79%E -0.497%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -16.24%E -8.68%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40% | 1.4% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.95% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.95% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.79% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68% | 1.8% | 2026-05-19 16:50 |