Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Helsingborgs IF v Nordic United FC

Kickoff: 2026-07-28 17:00 UTC

Final: Helsingborgs IF 1–1 Nordic United FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Helsingborgs IF (Local)

Prediction 43.98%2.27fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -0.866%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.79%43.90%43.93%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.132.152.2351.81%46.90%46.51%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nordic United FC (Visit)

Prediction 29.74%3.36fair odd
EV -0.377%
Edge -0.113%
Kelly -0.161%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.19%29.86%29.85%31.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.043.003.3536.36%32.90%33.33%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.28%3.80fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -0.742%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.86%26.24%26.23%28.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.483.503.7031.25%28.74%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Helsingborgs IF (Local): 43.98%; Nordic United FC (Visit): 29.74%; Draw: 26.28%. For Nordic United FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.35, with an expected value of -0.377%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -1.93%E -0.866%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -1.93%E -0.866%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -1.93%E -0.866%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 16:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -1.93%E -0.866%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 16:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 16:44
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 16:34
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 16:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 16:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 16:29
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 16:29
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 16:29
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 16:30
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -4.13%E -1.89%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -13.76%E -4.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-28 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.91%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -0.972%E -0.292%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -2.75%E -0.742%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-28 16:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.91%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -0.972%E -0.292%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -2.75%E -0.742%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-28 16:34
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.91%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -0.972%E -0.292%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -2.75%E -0.742%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-28 16:34
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.33%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 16:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 16:49
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -9.30%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.69%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-28 16:50
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -9.30%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.69%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-28 16:49
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.76%E -4.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-28 16:59
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -15.89%E -4.97%K -7.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-28 16:39
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -15.89%E -4.97%K -7.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-28 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -15.89%E -4.97%K -7.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-28 16:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -15.89%E -4.97%K -7.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-28 16:39
Pinnacle🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.52%EV -5.89%E -2.75%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -4.32%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 16:59
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.65%EV -5.89%E -2.75%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.83%EV -9.89%E -3.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.52%EV -3.80%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 16:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.01%EV -5.89%E -2.75%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -15.25%E -5.35%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-28 16:30
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.01%EV -6.77%E -3.19%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.48%EV -0.377%E -0.113%K -0.161%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.91%EV -7.21%E -3.42%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 16:50
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.33%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 16:49
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.84%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-28 16:44
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.83%EV -7.22%E -2.31%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-28 17:00
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-28 16:53
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-28 16:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.76%E -4.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-28 16:44
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -14.35%E -4.98%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-28 16:44
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.33%EV -8.53%E -4.10%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.55%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-28 16:49
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.85%E -4.80%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-28 16:49
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.85%E -4.80%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-28 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.85%E -4.80%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-28 16:49
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.85%E -4.80%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-28 16:35
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.85%E -4.80%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.26%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-28 16:45
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -12.05%E -6.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -18.22%E -6.63%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-28 16:44
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.07%EV -12.93%E -6.53%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.08%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.85%EV -14.57%E -4.48%K -6.48%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-28 16:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -15.12%E -7.84%K -16.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -4.84%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-28 16:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.3%2026-07-28 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-07-28 16:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-07-28 17:00
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-07-28 16:59

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