The School of Odds

Helsingborgs IF v Nordic United FC

2026-07-28 10:00 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Helsingborgs IF (Local)

Prediction 39.69%2.52fair odd
EV +1.22%
Edge +0.478%
Kelly +0.786%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.49%39.38%39.85%40.80%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.152.382.342.5547%42%43%39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Nordic United FC (Visit)

Prediction 33.09%3.02fair odd
EV -4.36%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -2.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.66%33.45%32.89%36.56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.482.642.602.8940%38%38%35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.21%3.67fair odd
EV +0.694%
Edge +0.188%
Kelly +0.257%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.94%27.17%27.26%29.11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.103.413.403.7032%29%29%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV +1.22%E +0.478%K +0.786%G +0.010%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -15.62%E -6.12%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV +1.22%E +0.478%K +0.786%G +0.010%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -15.62%E -6.12%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 14:40
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV +1.22%E +0.478%K +0.786%G +0.010%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -15.62%E -6.12%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 14:40
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV +1.22%E +0.478%K +0.786%G +0.010%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -15.62%E -6.12%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 14:40
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -0.767%E -0.307%K -0.511%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -15.62%E -6.12%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 14:40
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -0.767%E -0.307%K -0.511%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -15.62%E -6.12%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 14:40
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -0.767%E -0.307%K -0.511%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -15.62%E -6.12%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 14:40
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -0.767%E -0.307%K -0.511%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -15.62%E -6.12%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 14:40
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -0.767%E -0.307%K -0.511%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -15.62%E -6.12%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 14:40
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -0.767%E -0.307%K -0.511%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -15.62%E -6.12%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 14:40
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -0.767%E -0.307%K -0.511%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -15.62%E -6.12%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 14:40
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -0.767%E -0.307%K -0.511%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -17.27%E -6.91%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 14:40
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.49%EV -1.56%E -0.629%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.49%EV -17.93%E -7.23%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-21 14:40
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 39.89%EV -6.32%E -2.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.58%EV -4.36%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.53%EV -6.93%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 21:20
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -5.69%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 21:25
1xBet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.83%EV -7.12%E -3.04%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.59%EV -5.36%E -1.87%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -8.01%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 21:25
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -7.91%E -3.41%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -6.68%E -2.37%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 21:20
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -7.91%E -3.41%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -6.68%E -2.37%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 21:20
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -7.91%E -3.41%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.63%EV -6.02%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.42%EV -8.01%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 21:20
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -8.71%E -3.78%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -9.00%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV +0.694%E +0.188%K +0.257%G +0.002%6.9%2026-07-21 21:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -8.71%E -3.78%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -12.97%E -4.93%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV +0.694%E +0.188%K +0.257%G +0.002%8.5%2026-07-21 17:50
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.71%E -3.78%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -5.69%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -15.63%E -5.04%K -7.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 21:20
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.71%E -3.78%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -13.96%E -5.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-21 21:15
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.71%E -3.78%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -13.96%E -5.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-21 21:14
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.71%E -3.78%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -13.96%E -5.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-21 21:15
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.71%E -3.78%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -13.96%E -5.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-21 21:14
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.69%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -10.65%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 21:20
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.69%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -13.30%E -5.08%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-21 21:30
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -12.67%E -5.76%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -13.30%E -5.08%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -2.03%E -0.563%K -0.780%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-21 21:20
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -12.67%E -5.76%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -13.96%E -5.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-21 21:20
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.35%EV -14.66%E -6.82%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.36%EV -13.96%E -5.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-21 21:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-21 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-21 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-21 18:55