La escuela de los momios

Helsingborgs IF v Nordic United FC

2026-07-28 17:00 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Helsingborgs IF (Local)

Predicción 40.38%2.48momio equitativo
EV -5.10%
Ventaja -2.17%
Kelly -3.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.67%40.59%40.35%43.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.272.282.3547.62%44.03%43.86%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Nordic United FC (Visitante)

Predicción 32.81%3.05momio equitativo
EV +1.72%
Ventaja +0.555%
Kelly +0.819%
Crecimiento +0.014%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.69%32.71%32.92%34.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.772.803.1040.00%36.05%35.71%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.80%3.73momio equitativo
EV +0.515%
Ventaja +0.137%
Kelly +0.187%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.59%26.70%26.73%28.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.473.453.7530.30%28.85%28.99%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.24%EV -11.16%E -5.07%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV +1.72%E +0.555%K +0.819%G +0.014%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -2.17%E -0.593%K -0.817%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 22:04
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -5.91%E -2.54%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -3.20%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 06:59
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -6.31%E -2.72%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -4.84%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-23 00:09
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -6.31%E -2.72%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -4.84%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-23 00:09
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -13.18%E -6.13%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -4.84%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-23 17:00
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -6.31%E -2.72%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.25%EV -5.17%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -9.40%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 10:35
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.34%EV -7.12%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -5.50%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.45%EV -9.40%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 10:30
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.48%E -2.27%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 17:00
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -6.31%E -2.72%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -7.47%E -2.65%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 21:20
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -6.31%E -2.72%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -7.47%E -2.65%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 21:20
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 17:00
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -6.31%E -2.72%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -6.31%E -2.72%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 10:30
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -6.31%E -2.72%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 10:30
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -6.31%E -2.72%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 10:30
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.51%E -0.974%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 11:09
betano_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.51%E -0.974%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 11:10
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -7.93%E -3.48%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 10:30
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -7.93%E -3.48%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 10:30
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -7.93%E -3.48%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 10:30
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -7.93%E -3.48%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 10:30
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -7.93%E -3.48%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 10:29
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -7.93%E -3.48%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 10:30
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -7.93%E -3.48%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 10:30
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.12%E -2.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-23 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -7.12%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -9.76%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV +0.515%E +0.137%K +0.187%G +0.001%6.5%2026-07-25 17:05
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -7.12%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -9.76%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -0.825%E -0.223%K -0.306%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 20:40
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.12%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -9.76%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 08:32
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.16%EV -7.93%E -3.48%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -9.76%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-24 10:29
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -11.16%E -5.07%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -9.76%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-22 20:39
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.76%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.21%E -3.05%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 05:19
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -11.40%E -4.22%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -3.51%E -0.974%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 17:04
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -11.40%E -4.22%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -3.51%E -0.974%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 17:25
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -11.40%E -4.22%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 21:20
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.29%EV -9.95%E -4.46%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -11.40%E -4.22%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-24 10:30
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -11.16%E -5.07%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -13.70%E -5.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-25 17:04
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -14.03%E -5.35%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-22 08:50
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -14.03%E -5.35%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-22 08:50
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -14.03%E -5.35%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-22 08:50
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -14.03%E -5.35%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-22 08:50
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -11.16%E -5.07%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-22 20:29
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 40.98%EV -15.20%E -7.24%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.43%EV -17.97%E -7.19%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-23 13:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 41.09%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99%4.0%2026-07-26 05:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 41.09%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99%4.0%2026-07-26 05:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 40.33%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.32%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%6.0%2026-07-26 05:40