Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Helsingborgs IF v Nordic United FC

Início: 2026-07-28 17:00 UTC

Final: Helsingborgs IF 1–1 Nordic United FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Helsingborgs IF (Local)

Previsão 43.98%2.27odd justa
EV -1.93%
Vantagem -0.866%
Kelly -1.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.79%43.90%43.93%46.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.932.132.152.2351.81%46.90%46.51%44.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nordic United FC (Visitante)

Previsão 29.74%3.36odd justa
EV -0.377%
Vantagem -0.113%
Kelly -0.161%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.19%29.86%29.85%31.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.753.043.003.3536.36%32.90%33.33%29.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.28%3.80odd justa
EV -2.75%
Vantagem -0.742%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.86%26.24%26.23%28.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.483.503.7031.25%28.74%28.57%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Helsingborgs IF (Local): 43.98%; Nordic United FC (Visitante): 29.74%; Empate: 26.28%. Para Nordic United FC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.36. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.35, com valor esperado de -0.377%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -1.93%E -0.866%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -1.93%E -0.866%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -1.93%E -0.866%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 16:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -1.93%E -0.866%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 16:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 16:44
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 16:34
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 16:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 16:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 16:29
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 16:29
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 16:29
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 16:30
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -4.13%E -1.89%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -13.76%E -4.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-28 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.91%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -0.972%E -0.292%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -2.75%E -0.742%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-28 16:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.91%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -0.972%E -0.292%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -2.75%E -0.742%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-28 16:34
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.91%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -0.972%E -0.292%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -2.75%E -0.742%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-28 16:34
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.33%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 16:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 16:49
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -9.30%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.69%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-28 16:50
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -9.30%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.69%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-28 16:49
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.76%E -4.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-28 16:59
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -15.89%E -4.97%K -7.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-28 16:39
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -15.89%E -4.97%K -7.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-28 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -15.89%E -4.97%K -7.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-28 16:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -5.45%E -2.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -15.89%E -4.97%K -7.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-28 16:39
Pinnacle🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.52%EV -5.89%E -2.75%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -4.32%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 16:59
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.65%EV -5.89%E -2.75%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.83%EV -9.89%E -3.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.52%EV -3.80%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 16:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.01%EV -5.89%E -2.75%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -15.25%E -5.35%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-28 16:30
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.01%EV -6.77%E -3.19%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.48%EV -0.377%E -0.113%K -0.161%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.91%EV -7.21%E -3.42%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 16:50
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.33%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 16:49
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.84%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-28 16:44
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.83%EV -7.22%E -2.31%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-28 17:00
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-28 16:53
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-28 16:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.76%E -4.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-28 16:44
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -14.35%E -4.98%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-28 16:44
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.33%EV -8.53%E -4.10%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.55%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-28 16:49
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.85%E -4.80%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-28 16:49
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.85%E -4.80%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-28 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.85%E -4.80%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-28 16:49
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.85%E -4.80%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-28 16:35
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.85%E -4.80%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.26%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-28 16:45
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -12.05%E -6.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -18.22%E -6.63%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-28 16:44
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.07%EV -12.93%E -6.53%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.08%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.85%EV -14.57%E -4.48%K -6.48%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-28 16:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -15.12%E -7.84%K -16.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -4.84%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-28 16:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.3%2026-07-28 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-07-28 16:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-07-28 17:00
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-07-28 16:59