Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Helsingborgs IF v IFK Värnamo

Kickoff: 2026-08-11 17:00 UTC

Final: Helsingborgs IF 1–2 IFK Värnamo

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Helsingborgs IF (Local)

Prediction 33.55%2.98fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.353%
Kelly -0.534%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.54%33.66%33.48%36.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.762.782.9540.00%36.24%35.97%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IFK Värnamo (Visit)

Prediction 40.90%2.44fair odd
EV -0.610%
Edge -0.251%
Kelly -0.427%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.05%40.78%40.95%42.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.232.252.4348.08%44.86%44.44%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.55%3.91fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.420%
Kelly -0.568%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.46%25.57%25.57%26.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.503.503.8530.77%28.57%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Helsingborgs IF (Local): 33.55%; IFK Värnamo (Visit): 40.90%; Draw: 25.55%. For IFK Värnamo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.43, with an expected value of -0.610%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -1.04%E -0.353%K -0.534%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 16:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -1.04%E -0.353%K -0.534%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -1.04%E -0.353%K -0.534%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 16:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -1.04%E -0.353%K -0.534%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -2.72%E -0.938%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.69%EV -7.56%E -3.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.73%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -2.72%E -0.938%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.69%EV -7.56%E -3.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.73%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 16:49
BetAnything🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -2.72%E -0.938%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.69%EV -7.56%E -3.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.73%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 16:49
Pinnacle🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.15%EV -3.39%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.06%EV -7.15%E -3.15%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.62%E -0.420%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 16:50
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -4.40%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%EV -11.65%E -5.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 16:50
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -4.40%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%EV -11.65%E -5.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 16:49
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -4.40%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%EV -11.65%E -5.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -4.40%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%EV -11.65%E -5.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 16:49
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -4.40%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%EV -11.65%E -5.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 16:50
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -4.40%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%EV -11.65%E -5.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 16:48
Betsson🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.98%EV -5.40%E -1.92%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-11 16:50
NordicBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.98%EV -5.40%E -1.92%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-11 16:49
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -4.17%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 16:44
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.45%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 16:49
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.01%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-11 16:50
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.01%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-11 16:49
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-11 16:44
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.67%EV -13.29%E -6.27%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -15.67%E -4.75%K -6.81%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-11 16:49
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.40%EV -6.41%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.74%EV -7.50%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -6.74%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.03%EV -7.56%E -3.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.62%EV -7.50%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-11 16:54
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -4.17%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 16:44
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -9.28%E -2.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-11 16:50
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -9.28%E -2.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-11 16:44
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-11 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.73%EV -14.93%E -7.18%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.71%EV -16.95%E -5.22%K -7.53%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-11 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.73%EV -14.93%E -7.18%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.71%EV -16.95%E -5.22%K -7.53%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-11 16:50
Coolbet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.83%EV -8.42%E -3.09%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.13%EV -0.610%E -0.251%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -6.73%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.01%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-11 16:49
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-11 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-11 16:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -11.11%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-11 16:49
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-11 16:45
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -12.11%E -4.62%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 16:50
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.11%E -4.62%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-11 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.11%E -4.62%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-11 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.11%E -4.62%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-11 16:44
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.11%E -4.62%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-11 16:45
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-11 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-11 16:34
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-11 16:34
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.06%E -5.61%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-11 16:50
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.53%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.92%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-11 16:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -16.14%E -6.45%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -5.45%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-11 16:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-08-11 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-08-11 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-08-11 16:55
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-08-11 16:55