Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Helsingborgs IF v IFK Värnamo

Início: 2026-08-11 17:00 UTC

Final: Helsingborgs IF 1–2 IFK Värnamo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Helsingborgs IF (Local)

Previsão 33.55%2.98odd justa
EV -1.04%
Vantagem -0.353%
Kelly -0.534%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.54%33.66%33.48%36.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.762.782.9540.00%36.24%35.97%33.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

IFK Värnamo (Visitante)

Previsão 40.90%2.44odd justa
EV -0.610%
Vantagem -0.251%
Kelly -0.427%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.05%40.78%40.95%42.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.082.232.252.4348.08%44.86%44.44%41.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.55%3.91odd justa
EV -1.62%
Vantagem -0.420%
Kelly -0.568%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.46%25.57%25.57%26.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.503.503.8530.77%28.57%28.57%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Helsingborgs IF (Local): 33.55%; IFK Värnamo (Visitante): 40.90%; Empate: 25.55%. Para IFK Värnamo (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.44. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.43, com valor esperado de -0.610%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -1.04%E -0.353%K -0.534%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 16:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -1.04%E -0.353%K -0.534%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -1.04%E -0.353%K -0.534%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 16:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -1.04%E -0.353%K -0.534%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -2.72%E -0.938%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.69%EV -7.56%E -3.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.73%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -2.72%E -0.938%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.69%EV -7.56%E -3.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.73%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 16:49
BetAnything🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -2.72%E -0.938%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.69%EV -7.56%E -3.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.73%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 16:49
Pinnacle🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.15%EV -3.39%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.06%EV -7.15%E -3.15%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.62%E -0.420%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 16:50
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -4.40%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%EV -11.65%E -5.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 16:50
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -4.40%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%EV -11.65%E -5.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 16:49
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -4.40%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%EV -11.65%E -5.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -4.40%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%EV -11.65%E -5.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 16:49
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -4.40%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%EV -11.65%E -5.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 16:50
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -4.40%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%EV -11.65%E -5.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 16:48
Betsson🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.98%EV -5.40%E -1.92%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-11 16:50
NordicBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.98%EV -5.40%E -1.92%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-11 16:49
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -4.17%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 16:44
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.45%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 16:49
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.01%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-11 16:50
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.01%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-11 16:49
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-11 16:44
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.67%EV -13.29%E -6.27%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -15.67%E -4.75%K -6.81%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-11 16:49
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.40%EV -6.41%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.74%EV -7.50%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -6.74%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.03%EV -7.56%E -3.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.62%EV -7.50%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-11 16:54
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -4.17%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 16:44
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -9.28%E -2.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-11 16:50
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -9.28%E -2.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-11 16:44
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-11 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.73%EV -14.93%E -7.18%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.71%EV -16.95%E -5.22%K -7.53%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-11 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.73%EV -14.93%E -7.18%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.71%EV -16.95%E -5.22%K -7.53%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-11 16:50
Coolbet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.83%EV -8.42%E -3.09%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.13%EV -0.610%E -0.251%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -6.73%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.01%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-11 16:49
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-11 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-11 16:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -11.11%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-11 16:49
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-11 16:45
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -12.11%E -4.62%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 16:50
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.11%E -4.62%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-11 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.11%E -4.62%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-11 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.11%E -4.62%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-11 16:44
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.11%E -4.62%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-11 16:45
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-11 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-11 16:34
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-11 16:34
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.06%E -5.61%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-11 16:50
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.53%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.92%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-11 16:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -16.14%E -6.45%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -5.45%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-11 16:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-08-11 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-08-11 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-08-11 16:55
Matchbook◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-08-11 16:55