Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Helsingborgs IF v IFK Värnamo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-11 17:00 UTC

Score final : Helsingborgs IF 1–2 IFK Värnamo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Helsingborgs IF (Local)

Prévision 33.55%2.98cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.353%
Kelly -0.534%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.54%33.66%33.48%36.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.762.782.9540.00%36.24%35.97%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

IFK Värnamo (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.90%2.44cote équitable
EV -0.610%
Avantage -0.251%
Kelly -0.427%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.05%40.78%40.95%42.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.082.232.252.4348.08%44.86%44.44%41.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.55%3.91cote équitable
EV -1.62%
Avantage -0.420%
Kelly -0.568%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.46%25.57%25.57%26.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.503.503.8530.77%28.57%28.57%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Helsingborgs IF (Local) : 33.55% ; IFK Värnamo (Visiteur) : 40.90% ; Match nul : 25.55%. Pour IFK Värnamo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.44. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.43, pour une espérance de -0.610% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -1.04%E -0.353%K -0.534%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 16:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -1.04%E -0.353%K -0.534%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -1.04%E -0.353%K -0.534%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 16:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -1.04%E -0.353%K -0.534%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -8.79%E -3.94%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -2.72%E -0.938%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.69%EV -7.56%E -3.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.73%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -2.72%E -0.938%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.69%EV -7.56%E -3.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.73%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 16:49
BetAnything🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -2.72%E -0.938%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.69%EV -7.56%E -3.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.73%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 16:49
Pinnacle🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.15%EV -3.39%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.06%EV -7.15%E -3.15%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.62%E -0.420%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 16:50
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -4.40%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%EV -11.65%E -5.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 16:50
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -4.40%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%EV -11.65%E -5.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 16:49
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -4.40%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%EV -11.65%E -5.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -4.40%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%EV -11.65%E -5.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 16:49
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -4.40%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%EV -11.65%E -5.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 16:50
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -4.40%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%EV -11.65%E -5.40%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.39%E -4.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 16:48
Betsson🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.98%EV -5.40%E -1.92%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-11 16:50
NordicBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.98%EV -5.40%E -1.92%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-11 16:49
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -4.17%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 16:44
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.45%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 16:49
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.01%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-11 16:50
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.01%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-11 16:49
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-11 16:44
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.67%EV -13.29%E -6.27%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -15.67%E -4.75%K -6.81%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-11 16:49
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.40%EV -6.41%E -2.30%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.74%EV -7.50%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -6.74%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.03%EV -7.56%E -3.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.62%EV -7.50%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-11 16:54
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -4.17%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 16:44
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -9.28%E -2.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-11 16:50
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -9.28%E -2.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-11 16:44
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-11 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.73%EV -14.93%E -7.18%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.71%EV -16.95%E -5.22%K -7.53%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-11 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.73%EV -14.93%E -7.18%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.71%EV -16.95%E -5.22%K -7.53%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-11 16:50
Coolbet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.83%EV -8.42%E -3.09%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.13%EV -0.610%E -0.251%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -6.73%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.01%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-11 16:49
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-11 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-11 16:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -11.11%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-11 16:49
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-11 16:45
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -12.11%E -4.62%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 16:50
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.11%E -4.62%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-11 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.11%E -4.62%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-11 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.11%E -4.62%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-11 16:44
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.11%E -4.62%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-11 16:45
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-11 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-11 16:34
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-11 16:34
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.06%E -5.61%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -13.12%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-11 16:50
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -12.78%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.53%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.92%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-11 16:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -16.14%E -6.45%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -5.45%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-11 16:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-08-11 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-08-11 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-08-11 16:55
Matchbook◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-08-11 16:55