Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Falkenbergs FF v Nordic United FC

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 11:00 UTC

Final: Falkenbergs FF 1–1 Nordic United FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Falkenbergs FF (Local)

Prediction 42.03%2.38fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.34%42.28%42.02%45.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.152.202.3051.28%46.44%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nordic United FC (Visit)

Prediction 30.36%3.29fair odd
EV +1.70%
Edge +0.509%
Kelly +0.725%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.47%30.19%30.26%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.043.003.3535.71%32.94%33.33%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.61%3.62fair odd
EV +0.769%
Edge +0.211%
Kelly +0.290%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.72%27.53%27.72%29.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.383.403.6531.75%29.60%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Falkenbergs FF (Local): 42.03%; Nordic United FC (Visit): 30.36%; Draw: 27.61%. For Nordic United FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.70%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.41%EV -11.73%E -5.59%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV +1.70%E +0.509%K +0.725%G +0.012%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.13%EV +0.769%E +0.211%K +0.290%G +0.002%4.9%2026-08-08 10:40
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.33%E -0.410%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.17%EV -9.72%E -2.97%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -12.57%E -6.04%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -2.85%E -0.890%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -0.611%E -0.170%K -0.235%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 10:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -12.57%E -6.04%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -2.85%E -0.890%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -0.611%E -0.170%K -0.235%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 10:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -12.57%E -6.04%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -2.85%E -0.890%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -0.611%E -0.170%K -0.235%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 10:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -12.57%E -6.04%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -2.85%E -0.890%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -0.611%E -0.170%K -0.235%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 10:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 10:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 10:55
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 10:54
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 10:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.72%EV -6.69%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -5.28%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.59%EV -10.55%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 10:35
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 10:35
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 10:35
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 10:35
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -15.09%E -7.47%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 10:35
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -15.09%E -7.47%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 10:35
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -15.09%E -7.47%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 10:35
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -15.09%E -7.47%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 10:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -15.09%E -7.47%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 10:35
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -15.09%E -7.47%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 10:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -13.83%E -6.75%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 10:35
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -15.94%E -7.97%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -4.75%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 10:35
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.75%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 10:40
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.75%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 10:40
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.21%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 10:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:40
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 10:39
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 10:38
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 10:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.85%EV -17.62%E -8.99%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.30%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-08 10:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.85%EV -17.62%E -8.99%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.30%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-08 10:35
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.44%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 10:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.96%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 10:40
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -11.96%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 10:49
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.96%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 10:35
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 10:35
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 10:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 10:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 10:30
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 10:35
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 10:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -13.48%E -4.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:45
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.38%EV -10.89%E -5.14%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.78%EV -13.48%E -4.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -13.03%E -4.14%K -6.06%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-08 10:40
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -18.04%E -9.25%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -14.99%E -5.35%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-05 15:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.13%0.1%2026-08-08 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-08-08 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-08-08 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-08-08 10:46

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