Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Falkenbergs FF v Nordic United FC

2026-08-08 11:00 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Falkenbergs FF (Local)

Prediction 45.00%2.22fair odd
EV -5.49%
Edge -2.61%
Kelly -4.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.60%45.00%45.00%45.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.042.022.1050.51%49.08%49.50%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nordic United FC (Visit)

Prediction 29.43%3.40fair odd
EV -5.84%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -2.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.08%29.43%29.43%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.153.153.2033.33%31.75%31.75%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.57%3.91fair odd
EV -6.67%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.38%25.57%25.57%25.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.613.603.6528.17%27.68%27.78%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Falkenbergs FF (Local): 45.00%; Nordic United FC (Visit): 29.43%; Draw: 25.57%. For Falkenbergs FF (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.10, with an expected value of -5.49%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -5.49%E -2.61%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.31%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.67%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 11:09
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -5.49%E -2.61%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.31%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.67%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -7.29%E -3.54%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -5.84%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -6.67%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 11:10
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -7.29%E -3.54%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -5.84%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -6.67%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 11:10
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -7.29%E -3.54%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -5.84%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -6.67%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 11:09
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -7.29%E -3.54%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -5.84%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -6.67%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 11:10
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -9.09%E -4.50%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.31%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 11:09
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -9.09%E -4.50%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.31%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 11:09
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -9.09%E -4.50%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.31%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 11:09
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -9.09%E -4.50%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.31%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 11:09
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -9.09%E -4.50%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.31%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 11:10
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -9.09%E -4.50%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.31%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 11:10
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -9.09%E -4.50%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.31%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 11:09
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -9.09%E -4.50%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.31%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 11:10
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.60%EV -9.09%E -4.50%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -11.72%E -3.91%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 11:10
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.53%EV -10.89%E -5.50%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 11:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.