Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Falkenbergs FF v Nordic United FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 11:00 UTC

Score final : Falkenbergs FF 1–1 Nordic United FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Falkenbergs FF (Local)

Prévision 42.03%2.38cote équitable
EV -3.33%
Avantage -1.45%
Kelly -2.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.34%42.28%42.02%45.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.152.202.3051.28%46.44%45.45%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Nordic United FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.36%3.29cote équitable
EV +1.70%
Avantage +0.509%
Kelly +0.725%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.47%30.19%30.26%31.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.043.003.3535.71%32.94%33.33%29.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.61%3.62cote équitable
EV +0.769%
Avantage +0.211%
Kelly +0.290%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.72%27.53%27.72%29.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.383.403.6531.75%29.60%29.41%27.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Falkenbergs FF (Local) : 42.03% ; Nordic United FC (Visiteur) : 30.36% ; Match nul : 27.61%. Pour Nordic United FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.29. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.35, soit une espérance positive de +1.70%.

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.41%EV -11.73%E -5.59%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV +1.70%E +0.509%K +0.725%G +0.012%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.13%EV +0.769%E +0.211%K +0.290%G +0.002%4.9%2026-08-08 10:40
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.33%E -0.410%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.17%EV -9.72%E -2.97%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -12.57%E -6.04%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -2.85%E -0.890%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -0.611%E -0.170%K -0.235%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 10:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -12.57%E -6.04%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -2.85%E -0.890%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -0.611%E -0.170%K -0.235%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 10:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -12.57%E -6.04%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -2.85%E -0.890%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -0.611%E -0.170%K -0.235%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 10:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -12.57%E -6.04%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -2.85%E -0.890%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -0.611%E -0.170%K -0.235%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 10:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 10:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 10:55
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 10:54
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 10:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.72%EV -6.69%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -5.28%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.59%EV -10.55%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 10:35
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 10:35
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 10:35
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 10:35
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -15.09%E -7.47%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 10:35
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -15.09%E -7.47%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 10:35
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -15.09%E -7.47%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 10:35
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -15.09%E -7.47%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 10:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -15.09%E -7.47%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 10:35
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -15.09%E -7.47%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 10:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -13.83%E -6.75%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 10:35
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -15.94%E -7.97%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -4.75%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 10:35
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.75%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 10:40
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.75%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 10:40
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.21%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 10:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:40
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 10:39
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 10:38
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 10:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.85%EV -17.62%E -8.99%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.30%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-08 10:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.85%EV -17.62%E -8.99%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.30%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-08 10:35
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.44%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 10:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.96%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 10:40
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -11.96%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 10:49
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.96%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 10:35
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 10:35
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 10:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 10:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 10:30
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 10:35
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 10:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -13.48%E -4.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:45
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.38%EV -10.89%E -5.14%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.78%EV -13.48%E -4.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -13.03%E -4.14%K -6.06%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-08 10:40
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -18.04%E -9.25%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -14.99%E -5.35%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-05 15:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.13%0.1%2026-08-08 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-08-08 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-08-08 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-08-08 10:46