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Falkenbergs FF v Nordic United FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Falkenbergs FF (Local)
Predicción 42.03%2.38momio equitativo
EV -3.33%
Ventaja -1.45%
Kelly -2.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.34%42.28%42.02%45.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.152.202.3051.28%46.44%45.45%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nordic United FC (Visitante)
Predicción 30.36%3.29momio equitativo
EV +1.70%
Ventaja +0.509%
Kelly +0.725%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.47%30.19%30.26%31.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.043.003.3535.71%32.94%33.33%29.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.61%3.62momio equitativo
EV +0.769%
Ventaja +0.211%
Kelly +0.290%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.72%27.53%27.72%29.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.153.383.403.6531.75%29.60%29.41%27.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Falkenbergs FF (Local): 42.03%; Nordic United FC (Visitante): 30.36%; Empate: 27.61%. Para Nordic United FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.29. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.35, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.70%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.41%EV -11.73%E -5.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV +1.70%E +0.509%K +0.725%G +0.012% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.13%EV +0.769%E +0.211%K +0.290%G +0.002% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.33%E -0.410%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.17%EV -9.72%E -2.97%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -12.57%E -6.04%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -2.85%E -0.890%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -0.611%E -0.170%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -12.57%E -6.04%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -2.85%E -0.890%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -0.611%E -0.170%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -12.57%E -6.04%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -2.85%E -0.890%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -0.611%E -0.170%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -12.57%E -6.04%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -2.85%E -0.890%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -0.611%E -0.170%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.37%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.72%EV -6.69%E -3.01%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.69%EV -5.28%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.59%EV -10.55%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -15.09%E -7.47%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -15.09%E -7.47%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -15.09%E -7.47%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -15.09%E -7.47%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -15.09%E -7.47%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -15.09%E -7.47%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -13.83%E -6.75%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.89%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -15.94%E -7.97%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -4.75%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.75%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.75%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.21%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 10:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 10:38 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.85%EV -17.62%E -8.99%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.30%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.85%EV -17.62%E -8.99%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.30%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.44%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.96%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -11.96%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 10:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.96%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-08 10:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-08 10:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-08 10:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -13.48%E -4.73%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.38%EV -10.89%E -5.14%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.78%EV -13.48%E -4.73%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -13.03%E -4.14%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -18.04%E -9.25%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -14.99%E -5.35%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-08-05 15:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.13% | 0.1% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 10:46 |