Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.04
assuming max odds 3.80
assuming max odds 3.95
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Falkenbergs FF (Local): 47.33%; Ljungskile SK (Visit): 26.55%; Draw: 26.11%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.15%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.14%EV -10.06%E -5.30%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -1.76%E -0.475%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV +3.15%E +0.796%K +1.07%G +0.034% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 10:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -11.01%E -5.86%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV +0.898%E +0.236%K +0.321%G +0.003% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.38%E -0.914%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -11.01%E -5.86%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV +0.898%E +0.236%K +0.321%G +0.003% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.38%E -0.914%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -14.80%E -8.22%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -1.76%E -0.475%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -3.38%E -0.914%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -11.48%E -6.14%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -0.429%E -0.115%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -4.69%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -11.48%E -6.14%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -0.429%E -0.115%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -4.69%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -12.43%E -6.72%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -1.76%E -0.475%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.69%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -12.43%E -6.72%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -1.76%E -0.475%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.69%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -12.43%E -6.72%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -1.76%E -0.475%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.69%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -12.43%E -6.72%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -1.76%E -0.475%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.69%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -12.43%E -6.72%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -1.76%E -0.475%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.69%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.07%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.41%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.28%E -3.17%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.07%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 10:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 10:48 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.28%E -3.17%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.40%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 10:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.28%E -3.17%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.40%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 10:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.38%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -13.38%E -7.31%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -7.07%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.04%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -1.76%E -0.475%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.03%EV -7.30%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.04%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -1.76%E -0.475%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.03%EV -7.30%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -14.32%E -7.91%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -4.41%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -7.30%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.80%EV -5.80%E -2.92%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV +0.898%E +0.236%K +0.321%G +0.003% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.40%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.40%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -9.59%E -5.02%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -5.74%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 10:46 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -13.71%E -4.22%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 10:48 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.38%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.38%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.78%EV -5.80%E -2.92%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.15%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.06%EV -10.17%E -2.96%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -6.75%E -3.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -10.17%E -2.96%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.59%E -5.02%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.07%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.22%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -15.03%E -4.70%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.22%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -15.03%E -4.70%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.22%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -13.38%E -7.31%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -17.69%E -5.71%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -11.22%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-06 05:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -8.40%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-06 10:48 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.38%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.59%E -5.02%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.14%EV -12.43%E -6.72%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -12.38%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.44%EV -13.38%E -7.31%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.15%EV -13.71%E -4.22%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.41%EV -19.05%E -6.15%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |