La scuola delle quote

Falkenbergs FF v Ljungskile SK

Inizio: 2026-04-06 11:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

42 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Falkenbergs FF (Casa)

Previsione 47.33%2.11quota equa
EV -3.44%
Vantaggio -1.68%
Kelly -3.30%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.21%47.55%47.26%50.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.921.952.0455.56%52.01%51.28%49.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ljungskile SK (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.55%3.77quota equa
EV +0.898%
Vantaggio +0.236%
Kelly +0.321%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.66%26.47%26.62%28.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.513.503.8032.26%28.49%28.57%26.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.11%3.83quota equa
EV +3.15%
Vantaggio +0.796%
Kelly +1.07%
Crescita +0.034%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.12%25.98%26.12%27.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.523.553.9532.26%28.39%28.17%25.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.14%EV -10.06%E -5.30%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -1.76%E -0.475%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV +3.15%E +0.796%K +1.07%G +0.034%5.0%2026-04-06 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -11.01%E -5.86%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV +0.898%E +0.236%K +0.321%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.38%E -0.914%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 10:50
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -11.01%E -5.86%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV +0.898%E +0.236%K +0.321%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.38%E -0.914%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 10:49
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -14.80%E -8.22%K -18.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -1.76%E -0.475%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -3.38%E -0.914%K -1.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -11.48%E -6.14%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -0.429%E -0.115%K -0.156%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -4.69%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 10:49
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -11.48%E -6.14%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -0.429%E -0.115%K -0.156%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -4.69%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 10:50
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -12.43%E -6.72%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -1.76%E -0.475%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.69%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 10:49
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -12.43%E -6.72%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -1.76%E -0.475%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.69%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 10:49
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -12.43%E -6.72%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -1.76%E -0.475%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.69%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 10:50
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -12.43%E -6.72%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -1.76%E -0.475%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.69%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 10:50
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -12.43%E -6.72%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -1.76%E -0.475%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.69%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 10:50
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.07%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 10:50
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.41%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 10:49
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.28%E -3.17%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.07%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 10:35
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 10:48
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.28%E -3.17%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.40%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 10:35
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.28%E -3.17%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.40%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 10:35
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.38%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 10:50
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -13.38%E -7.31%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -7.07%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 10:49
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.04%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -1.76%E -0.475%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.03%EV -7.30%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 10:50
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.04%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -1.76%E -0.475%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.03%EV -7.30%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 10:49
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -14.32%E -7.91%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -4.41%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -7.30%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-06 10:49
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 47.80%EV -5.80%E -2.92%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV +0.898%E +0.236%K +0.321%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 10:50
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.40%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 10:50
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.40%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 10:50
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -9.59%E -5.02%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -5.74%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 10:46
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -13.71%E -4.22%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 10:48
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.38%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 10:49
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.38%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 10:49
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.78%EV -5.80%E -2.92%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.15%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.06%EV -10.17%E -2.96%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 10:49
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -6.75%E -3.43%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -10.17%E -2.96%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 10:50
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.59%E -5.02%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.07%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.22%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 10:50
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -15.03%E -4.70%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.22%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -15.03%E -4.70%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.22%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 10:50
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -13.38%E -7.31%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -17.69%E -5.71%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -11.22%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-06 05:39
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -8.40%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 10:48
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.38%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 10:50
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 10:49
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 10:50
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.59%E -5.02%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-06 10:49
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.14%EV -12.43%E -6.72%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -12.38%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-06 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.44%EV -13.38%E -7.31%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.15%EV -13.71%E -4.22%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.41%EV -19.05%E -6.15%K -9.07%G +0.000%17.7%2026-04-06 10:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-04-06 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%1.0%2026-04-06 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%1.0%2026-04-06 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%1.0%2026-04-06 10:50