L’École des cotesFrançais
Falkenbergs FF v Ljungskile SK
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Falkenbergs FF (Local)
Prévision 47.33%2.11cote équitable
EV -3.44%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -3.30%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.04
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.21%47.55%47.26%50.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.921.952.0455.56%52.01%51.28%49.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Ljungskile SK (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.55%3.77cote équitable
EV +0.898%
Avantage +0.236%
Kelly +0.321%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 3.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.66%26.47%26.62%28.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.513.503.8032.26%28.49%28.57%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.11%3.83cote équitable
EV +3.15%
Avantage +0.796%
Kelly +1.07%
Croissance +0.034%
avec la cote maximale 3.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.12%25.98%26.12%27.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.523.553.9532.26%28.39%28.17%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.14%EV -10.06%E -5.30%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -1.76%E -0.475%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV +3.15%E +0.796%K +1.07%G +0.034% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 10:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -11.01%E -5.86%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV +0.898%E +0.236%K +0.321%G +0.003% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.38%E -0.914%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -11.01%E -5.86%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV +0.898%E +0.236%K +0.321%G +0.003% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.38%E -0.914%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -14.80%E -8.22%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -1.76%E -0.475%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -3.38%E -0.914%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -11.48%E -6.14%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -0.429%E -0.115%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -4.69%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| Unibet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -11.48%E -6.14%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -0.429%E -0.115%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -4.69%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -12.43%E -6.72%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -1.76%E -0.475%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.69%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -12.43%E -6.72%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -1.76%E -0.475%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.69%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -12.43%E -6.72%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -1.76%E -0.475%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.69%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -12.43%E -6.72%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -1.76%E -0.475%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.69%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -12.43%E -6.72%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -1.76%E -0.475%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.69%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.07%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.41%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.28%E -3.17%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.07%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 10:35 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 10:48 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.28%E -3.17%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.40%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 10:35 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.28%E -3.17%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.40%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 10:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.38%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -13.38%E -7.31%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -7.07%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.04%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -1.76%E -0.475%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.03%EV -7.30%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.04%EV -3.44%E -1.68%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -1.76%E -0.475%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.03%EV -7.30%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -14.32%E -7.91%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -4.41%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -7.30%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.80%EV -5.80%E -2.92%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV +0.898%E +0.236%K +0.321%G +0.003% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.40%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| BetAnything | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.40%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -9.59%E -5.02%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -5.74%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 10:46 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -13.71%E -4.22%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 10:48 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.38%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.38%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.78%EV -5.80%E -2.92%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.15%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.06%EV -10.17%E -2.96%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -6.75%E -3.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -10.17%E -2.96%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.59%E -5.02%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.07%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.22%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -15.03%E -4.70%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.22%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -15.03%E -4.70%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.22%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -13.38%E -7.31%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -17.69%E -5.71%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -11.22%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-06 05:39 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -8.40%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-06 10:48 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.38%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.59%E -5.02%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.14%EV -12.43%E -6.72%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -12.38%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.44%EV -13.38%E -7.31%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.15%EV -13.71%E -4.22%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.41%EV -19.05%E -6.15%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |